El Transito
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: America/Managua
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Saturday 13
Sunday 14
Monday 15
Tuesday 16
Wednesday 17
Thursday 18
Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
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El Transito surf guide

El Transito is a crescent-shaped surf spot located in Nicaragua, not too far from Managua. It's easily accessible with one road coming straight in from the highway. This spot offers a decent experience for surfers of various skill levels, with a backdrop that's pretty nice to look at while you wait for a wave. The area sees its fair share of swells, making it a reliable choice for surfers throughout the year, especially during the prime season from April to September.

The waves here can be fun, especially when the conditions align. You'll typically find surfable waves from chest high (about 1 meter) to slightly overhead (about 2.5 meters). El Transito can handle a variety of swells, but it shines with S to SW swells. The best days often occur when the swells are about 3 to 8 feet (1 to 2.4 meters) and the periods are around 16 seconds or shorter. Keep in mind that if the periods go over 16 seconds, the waves might start to shut down due to the small beach size. The tide plays a significant role too; it’s best to surf on medium to high tides, but it can break on most tide levels, especially at low and mid-tides. The breaks are mostly mellow beach waves, with the ability to offer some fun barrel sections, suitable for beginners and more experienced surfers alike. Winds are usually light to moderate from the E-NE, which keeps the surf clean.

If you're looking for variety, there are other surf spots nearby, like Puerto Sandino, which is known for its long lefts, and some hidden gems within walking distance. Just watch out for scattered patches of reef and make sure you're aware of where you're surfing. The crowds are often on the mellow side, mainly consisting of visiting surfers, so you can usually find your space in the lineup. Overall, El Transito can be an average wave on a normal day, but it definitely has its good moments.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby El Transito

Salinas Grandes
Leon, Nicaragua
Beach break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Puerto Sandino
Leon, Nicaragua
Reef break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Pipes - Miramar
Leon, Nicaragua
Beach break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Punta Miramar
Leon, Nicaragua
Reef break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Shacks - Miramar
Leon, Nicaragua
Reef break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
El Transito
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
El Tránsito
Leon, Nicaragua
Point break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Playa Ausuchillas
Managua, Nicaragua
Beach break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Hemorrhoids
Managua, Nicaragua
Reef break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Chiggas
Managua, Nicaragua
Reef break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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