Faja da Ovelha
Hourly
Confidence
Compare
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Thursday 27
Friday 28
Saturday 29
Sunday 30
Monday 01
Tuesday 02
Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
Timezone:
Atlantic/Madeira
Wind: GFS
(20251127 00z)
Waves: GFS WAVE
(20251127 00z)
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Faja da Ovelha surf forecast characteristics

Swell window
W - N
(Best from NW)
Swell size
8ft - 20ft
Swell breaks over
Boulders
Wave types
Point
Wave directions
Right
Wind window
NE - NE
(Offshore from NE)
Works at
Low, Mid, High
Skill Level
Expert

Faja da Ovelha surf forecast guide

Faja da Ovelha is a surf spot that’s not your typical beach break. This location is pretty remote and can only be accessed by boat, so it's not for the casual surfer looking for an easy day at the beach. It’s situated away from towns, making it a unique spot to check out if you’re up for a little adventure. You’ll likely need to rent a boat from places like Paul do Mar or Calheta to get there.

The wave at Faja da Ovelha is considered pretty heavy, so it’s really suited for experts only. It mainly breaks over boulders and handles swell sizes up to about 2.4 meters (8 ft). The optimal swell direction is from the Northwest, but it can also work with swells coming from the West and North. The wave breaks to the right, and you’ll want to look out for the best conditions with a Northeast wind. This spot can work well at all tide heights—low, mid, and high—providing some flexibility when planning your surf session.

Since you’ll need a boat to access the waves, it's a good idea to plan with some friends or fellow surfers who know the area. Make sure to check the local conditions and be prepared, as this spot isn’t for the faint of heart. Having the right gear and experience is key for tackling what Faja da Ovelha has to offer.

Surf schools and rentals

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Faja da Ovelha

Faja da Ovelha
Madeira, Portugal
Point break
Thu 27
Fri 28
Sat 29
Sun 30
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Ponta Paul
Madeira, Portugal
Point break
Thu 27
Fri 28
Sat 29
Sun 30
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Paul do Mar
Madeira, Portugal
Reef break
Thu 27
Fri 28
Sat 29
Sun 30
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Ponta Pequena
Madeira, Portugal
Point break
Thu 27
Fri 28
Sat 29
Sun 30
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Jardim do Mar
Madeira, Portugal
Point break
Thu 27
Fri 28
Sat 29
Sun 30
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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