Guarita
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: America/Sao_Paulo
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Saturday 13
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Guarita surf guide

Guarita is a surf spot located inside Guarita State Park, known for its scenic beauty and occasional surf opportunities. It can get pretty crowded during the summer and on weekends, so plan your visit accordingly if you prefer a quieter session. The spot offers a mix of surf conditions ideal for different levels, with some spots being suitable for beginners.

The best swell direction for Guarita is from the East, although it can also handle swells from the South. You can expect the waves to work well at sizes around 3 feet (about 1 meter). The surf breaks primarily over rocky ledges and sand, creating both left and right-hand waves. When the wind blows from the Northwest and the tide is low, mid, or even high, you might catch some decent sessions here. It's a spot where beginners can start to get a feel for the waves in a relatively controlled environment.

With the right swell and wind conditions, Guarita can provide powerful, protected peaks that are more focused and consistent than the surrounding beach breaks. Still, make sure to check the forecast and conditions before heading out, as it can vary. Since it’s in a state park, it’s a good idea to respect the environment while enjoying your day at the beach.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Guarita

Barra do Mampituba
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Unknown break
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Praia dos Molhes
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Unknown break
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Praia Grande - Rio Grande do Sul
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Beach break
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Prainha - Brazil
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Beach break
Sat 13
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Praia da Cal
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Beach break
Sat 13
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Guarita
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Beach break
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Ilha dos Lobos
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Reef break
Sat 13
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Itapeva
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Beach break
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Capão da Canoa
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
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Atlântida Pier
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Unknown break
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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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