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Surf forecast for Hat Head

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Timezone:
Australia/Sydney
Forecast updated:
26/06, 04:00
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260625 12z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260625 12z)
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Timeline

Hat Head Surf Forecast Guide

Hat Head is a surf spot that appeals mainly to intermediates looking for something different. It's well-sheltered from south winds, which makes it a solid choice when conditions are less than ideal elsewhere. The spot features a rocky shelf below the headland and tends to offer some nice opportunities for picking off a wave while keeping the crowds manageable. Although it might not provide the long rides you can find at Crescent, it often chalks up a bit more push than youโ€™d expect.

The waves here work best with moderate east swells and can handle sizes around 3 ft (about 1 meter). Youโ€™ll find the optimal swell direction coming from the east, with northeast and southeast swells also producing rides. Expect mainly right-hand point waves breaking over both rock ledges and sand. Low to mid tides are generally preferable for the best experience. So, if you can time it right, you can snag some decent waves here.

Aside from the surfing, the rivermouth provides shallow, protected swimming, making it a decent spot for families accompanying surfers. While you're out catching waves, you've also got the option to chill by the water with those who may not be into surfing.

Surf spots near Hat Head

Scotts Head
New South Wales, Australia
Point break
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Tue 30
South West Rocks
New South Wales, Australia
Beach break
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Tue 30
Hat Head
New South Wales, Australia
Point break
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Tue 30
Crescent Head
New South Wales, Australia
Point break
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Tue 30
Point Plomer
New South Wales, Australia
Point break
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Tue 30

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Hat Head?

Hat Head is usually best with swell from northeast to southeast (NE-SE), ideally east (E) around 0.9 m / 3 ft to 3.7 m / 12 ft, southwest (SW) offshore wind, and low to mid tide.

Where is the surf spot Hat Head?

Hat Head is a surf spot in Hat Head, New South Wales, Australia.

What is the surf break like at Hat Head?

Hat Head is a right point break over rock ledge and sand. Expect a moderate crowd.

What surfing skill level is Hat Head suitable for?

Hat Head can suit intermediate surfers.

Is Hat Head beginner friendly for surfing?

Hat Head is better suited to intermediate surfers.

How consistent is the surf at Hat Head?

Hat Head has moderate surf consistency for New South Wales, Australia.

What facilities are available for surfers at Hat Head?

Facilities for surfers at Hat Head: restrooms, showers, camping, and lifeguard.

Is there parking for surfing at Hat Head?

Parking around Hat Head: free parking, roadside parking, and car park.

What surf spots are near Hat Head?

Other nearby surf spots are Crescent Head, South West Rocks, Point Plomer, and Scotts Head.

What swell direction works for surfing at Hat Head?

Hat Head can work with swell from northeast to southeast (NE-SE); east (E) is usually best.

What swell size works for surfing at Hat Head?

Hat Head usually works with swell around 0.9 m / 3 ft to 3.7 m / 12 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Hat Head?

Southwest (SW) offshore wind is usually best at Hat Head.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Hat Head?

Southwest (SW) is offshore at Hat Head.

What tide works best for surfing at Hat Head?

Hat Head works best around low to mid tide. A rising tide is usually better here.

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Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
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Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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