Hog Hole
Hourly
Confidence
Compare
โฑ๏ธs.
โšก๏ธkJ
Tuesday 04
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Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
Timezone: America/Costa_Rica
Wind: GFS (20251104 00z)
Waves: GFS WAVE (20251104 00z)

Hog Hole surf guide

Located in the Cabo Matapalo area, Hog Hole is one of the standout surf spots for those looking to score some decent waves. While getting there involves navigating 4X4 dirt roads that can be tricky, especially when rivers swell, the trip can be worth it. Accommodations can be a bit on the pricey side, but the collection of surf breaks is something to keep in mind if you're serious about your surfing.

Hog Hole is known for its fast, steep walls and is best served by a SouthWest swell. You can also catch some waves with South and West swells, but the quality tends to drop off a bit. This spot typically handles swell sizes well at around 3ft (0.9 meters) and has a very pointed wave direction to the right. Ideal surfing conditions pop up at low to mid tide, but it can hold up even when the tide is higher. Just be aware that this is a break for experts; the waves can be challenging, especially with the boulders that line the bottom and add to the complexity of the surf.

The local vibe at Hog Hole consists of a mix of locals and boaters that come over from Pavones, so expect some company in the water. The preferred wind direction is from the Northwest, which can help shape the waves nicely. Just keep in mind that when it gets big, the conditions can turn heavy and wild, so be prepared if you're planning to surf here.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Hog Hole

Carate
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Tue 4
Wed 5
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Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Pan Dulce
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Reef break
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Backwash (Golfo Dulce)
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Reef break
Tue 4
Wed 5
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Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Matapalo
Puntarenas Province, Costa Rica
Reef break, Point break
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Hog Hole
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Point break
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

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Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

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