Holy Island
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: Europe/London
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Thursday 18
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Holy Island surf guide

Holy Island is a unique surf spot set on a small island surrounded by water. The access to the surf area involves a causeway road that can flood at high tide, so timing is key if you want to hit the waves. It’s a bit of a hidden gem and not too crowded, which can be a nice change from busier beaches. The vibe is pretty chill, making it a decent spot for surfers looking to escape the hustle.

The waves here can be decent, especially when there’s a big wrapping winter north swell. The spot has a few phantom reefs, with a left break on the south side of the island that can be fun when conditions are right. Holy Island handles swell sizes around 1 meter (3 ft), and can work with swells coming from the north and southeast. You can catch both left and right waves, and it’s best to surf during low to mid tide, especially since the reef and scattered rocks can be tricky. For optimal conditions, west winds are preferable here.

Aside from the waves, it’s important to be mindful of the causeway access road, which can flood during high tide, potentially making it hard to get in and out. Make sure to check tide schedules before heading out to avoid any surprises. There’s definitely some potential for fun sessions if you hit it right!

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Holy Island

White Sands
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Pease Bay
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break, Reef break
Thu 18
Fri 19
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Fri 26
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Pease Bay
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Thu 18
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Coldingham Bay
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Thu 18
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Sun 28
Mon 29
Holy Island
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Reef break
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
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Mon 29
Bamburgh
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Thu 18
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Mon 29
Seahouses
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Thu 18
Fri 19
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Sun 28
Mon 29
Embleton Bay
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break, Reef break
Thu 18
Fri 19
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Sun 28
Mon 29
Alnmouth
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Thu 18
Fri 19
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Tue 23
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Sun 28
Mon 29
Newbiggin
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Reef break
Thu 18
Fri 19
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Mon 22
Tue 23
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Sun 28
Mon 29
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"Great Forecasts. Nothing more, nothing less."

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"

Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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