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Surf forecast for K-38

Tide
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โšก๏ธkJ
Timezone:
America/Tijuana
Forecast updated:
19/06, 11:00
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260619 18z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260619 18z)
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K-38 Surf Forecast Guide

Located just south of Rosarito, K-38 is a well-known spot in Baja Norte and is often one of the first places surfers hit when heading to Mexico. Itโ€™s also a convenient day trip from San Diego. The break is a moderately powerful, bowly right point that works over a rocky reef. While it's not considered epic, K-38 usually delivers some fun waves, making it a popular pitstop during road trips further down the coast.

This spot works best with swells from the South and West, handling sizes from 5ft to 10ft (1.5m to 3m). The waves break over a rocky bottom and are mainly of the reef and point type, coming in from the right. The ideal conditions happen with heads blowing from the North-North-East, North-East, or East-North-East, and it's best during low to mid tide. K-38 is suitable for intermediate to expert surfers, and it can handle some solid swell, so keep that in mind as conditions can change quickly.

Access to the spot is straightforward; you can park at the nearby hotel or pay a security guard to watch your car. Expect some crowds as itโ€™s a staple in the Baja Norte surf scene, and you might run into a few grumpy American expats. Wave conditions tend to be consistent throughout the year, especially during summer, autumn, and winter with good south swells. Whether you're riding a shortboard, longboard, or fish, you'll find something here to enjoy.

Surf spots near K-38

Las Gaviotas - Baja
Baja California, Mexico
Reef break
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
K38
Baja California, Mexico
Reef break
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
K-38
Baja California, Mexico
Reef break, Point break
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Calafia
Baja California, Mexico
Point break
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Alfonsos
Baja California, Mexico
Unknown break
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for K-38?

K-38 is usually best with south-southeast through south to west-northwest (SSE-S-WNW) swell around 1.5 m / 5 ft to 3 m / 10 ft, wind from north-northeast to east-northeast (NNE-ENE), with northeast (NE) offshore, and low to mid tide.

Where is the surf spot K-38?

K-38 is a surf spot in Playas de Rosarito, Baja California, Mexico.

What is the surf break like at K-38?

Wave types at K-38 are reef and point. Waves at K-38 break right. K-38 breaks over rock. Expect a moderate crowd and a somewhat reserved lineup.

What season is best for surfing K-38?

The main surf season at K-38 is summer and autumn.

What surfing skill level is K-38 suitable for?

K-38 can suit intermediate and expert surfers.

Is K-38 beginner friendly for surfing?

K-38 is better suited to intermediate and expert surfers.

What surfboards work at K-38?

Shortboard, Longboard, and Fish are common choices at K-38.

What surf spots are near K-38?

Other nearby surf spots are K38, Calafia, Alfonsos, and Las Gaviotas - Baja.

What swell direction works for surfing at K-38?

K-38 can work with swell from south-southeast through south to west-northwest (SSE-S-WNW).

What swell size works for surfing at K-38?

K-38 usually works with swell around 1.5 m / 5 ft to 3 m / 10 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at K-38?

K-38 usually works with wind from north-northeast to east-northeast (NNE-ENE); northeast (NE) is offshore.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at K-38?

Northeast (NE) is offshore at K-38.

What tide works best for surfing at K-38?

K-38 works best around low to mid tide. A rising tide is usually better here.

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Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
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We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

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Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
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Bad or No Data

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