Lighthouse (Tongatapu)
Hourly
Confidence
Compare
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Saturday 08
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Thursday 13
Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
Timezone: Pacific/Tongatapu
Wind: GFS (20251108 06z)
Waves: GFS WAVE (20251108 06z)

Lighthouse (Tongatapu) surf guide

Lighthouse in Tongatapu is a spot that's definitely not for beginners. It's mainly an expert-level wave that works best with summer swells coming from the NW-N direction. The surf here breaks over live coral, so you need to be super careful. The wave is a barreling righthander, and it can get pretty intense. When the conditions are right, you'll get a good ride, but it can be challenging too.

The wave breaks into two sections. The outside section starts off fast and really connects for about 15 meters, so get ready for a sprint. It’s known to work at low tide, even when the size is on the smaller side, around 3ft (about 0.9 meters). After the outside, you’ll hit a bit of a rough patch called Surgeons Table, which doesn't help if you're not quick. Then comes the short inside section, where you’ll need higher tides to make those air drops and catch a winding barrel. The ideal wind direction is southeast, and the wave handles different tide heights—low, mid, and high—pretty well.

If you’re planning your session, keep in mind that the optimal swell direction is southwest. This spot can really challenge the skills of even the most experienced surfers, so be prepared for a tough ride. Just remember to respect the ocean and know your limits.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Lighthouse (Tongatapu)

Fishtraps
Tongatapu, Tonga
Reef break
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
The Bowl (Tongatapu)
Tongatapu, Tonga
Reef break
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Lighthouse (Tongatapu)
Tongatapu, Tonga
Reef break
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Corners
Tongatapu, Tonga
Reef break
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
Kamikazes
Tongatapu, Tonga
Reef break
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Wed 19
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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

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Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

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