Manuel Antonio
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: America/Costa_Rica
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Manuel Antonio surf guide

Manuel Antonio is located about 45 minutes south of Jaco and offers a beautiful beach setting surrounded by lush jungle. It’s a popular spot for beginner surfers thanks to its laid-back vibe and soft waves. The beachbreaks tend to come alive with swells from the South and South-West, making it a practical choice for those just starting out or looking for a more relaxed surf session.

The surf at Manuel Antonio usually works best with chest-high to slightly overhead waves (about 1.2 to 2.1 meters). It mainly features a mix of beach and point breaks, with waves breaking left and right over a sandy bottom and some scattered rocks. Conditions are generally easy to navigate, making it a good spot for beginner to intermediate surfers. The preferred wind directions are North-East to East, and it can handle swells between 4 to 7 feet (1.2 to 2.1 meters) quite well. Mid to high tides are usually ideal for catching the best waves here.

Access to the beach is convenient, with plenty of guarded parking near the National Park entrance. To find bigger surf, it’s a good idea to walk a bit north. While the local vibe is mellow, it's wise to be respectful of the local surfers, who often stick to the nearby Playitas area, which has more bodyboarders and peaks. Overall, the scene is friendly, so it's a great spot to enjoy a day on the waves.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Manuel Antonio

Boca Damas
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Rivermouth break
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Quepos Jetty
Puntarenas Province, Costa Rica
Rivermouth break
Sat 13
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Quepos Bombie
Puntarenas Province, Costa Rica
Reef break
Sat 13
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Playitas - Puntarenas
Puntarenas Province, Costa Rica
Beach break
Sat 13
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Manuel Antonio
Puntarenas Province, Costa Rica
Beach break, Point break
Sat 13
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Playa El Rey
Puntarenas Province, Costa Rica
Beach break
Sat 13
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Playa Matapalo
Puntarenas Province, Costa Rica
Beach break
Sat 13
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Playa Dominical
Puntarenas Province, Costa Rica
Beach break
Sat 13
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Dominicalito
Puntarenas Province, Costa Rica
Beach break
Sat 13
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Punta Dominical
Puntarenas Province, Costa Rica
Point break
Sat 13
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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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