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Surf forecast for Mavericks

Map showing Mavericks
Wwvs
1.2ft 3s.
3kJ
Swl 3
1.7ft 12s.
114kJ
Swl 2
1.9ft 12s.
143kJ
Swl 1
3.6ft 7s.
172kJ
Wnd
5mph
6mph
Tide
๐Ÿ’จmph
๐ŸŒŠft
โฑ๏ธs.
โšก๏ธkJ
Timezone:
America/Los_Angeles
Forecast updated:
06/10, 11:00 pm
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20261007 06z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20261007 06z)

Weather

Wednesday 07/10

Water temperature
66ยฐF
Daily average
Air temperatureBeta
Over water
60โ€“76ยฐF
On shore
67โ€“85ยฐF
Moon phase
Waning crescent
9% illuminated
Closest moon phase
New moon
Sat 10/10 08:51 am
Tide range
0.1ft - 5.3ft
Low 02:31 am ยท High 08:57 pm
Next spring tide
Sun 11/10
5.9ft range
Next neap tide
Mon 19/10
1.1ft range

Timeline

Mavericks Surf Forecast Guide

Mavericks is a world-famous big-wave reef at Pillar Point, and it is strictly for expert big-wave surfers. The wave breaks over boulders, opening with an incredibly hollow, jacking take-off in front of a series of house-sized rocks known as The Boneyard, then reeling into a long, huge wall that ends in a deep channel. It is primarily a right, though a few brave surfers have ridden the lefts. This is one of the biggest, scariest waves in the world, scoured by heavy currents and studded with lethal rocks on the inside impact zone. It has already claimed the lives of big-wave surfers Mark Foo and Sion Milosky and a kayaker, and there have been two reported shark attacks here, both non-fatal.

When It Works

Mavericks draws swell from west through northwest, with northwest swell the best match. It is usable from 3.7 m / 12 ft to 9.1 m / 30 ft, starting to show around 12 feet when the gnarled inside double-up known as Phlegm Balls begins breaking, before proper Mavs starts sucking in swells of all sizes and never closes out. Consistency can be a little hit or miss, so it pays to wait for the right window.

Wind and Tide

Look for east offshore wind. It works on low and mid tide, with a rising tide generally the better call.

Local Tips

This is an expert-only big-wave arena and no place to test yourself. Expect a busy lineup when it is breaking.

Access

The best access is by boat from Princeton Harbor. Otherwise, park south of Pillar Point and follow the footpath through the James Fitzgerald Marine Reserve, past the harbor to a small beach protected by the north jetty, then paddle roughly 40 minutes around the boneyard to the lineup. Mavericks sits inside the federally protected Monterey Bay National Marine Sanctuary, where regulations prohibit motorized personal watercraft. A seasonal zone now allows tow-in surfing in December, January, and February, but only when the National Weather Service declares a high-surf warning, which limits its use on moderate-sized days.

Surf spots near Mavericks

Half Moon Bay
California, United States
Beach break
Wed 7
Thu 8
Fri 9
Sat 10
Sun 11
Princeton Breakwater
California, United States
Unknown break
Wed 7
Thu 8
Fri 9
Sat 10
Sun 11
Princeton Jetty
California, United States
Jetty break
Wed 7
Thu 8
Fri 9
Sat 10
Sun 11
Mavericks
California, United States
Reef break
Wed 7
Thu 8
Fri 9
Sat 10
Sun 11
Maverick's
California, United States
Reef break, Offshore break, Canyon break
Wed 7
Thu 8
Fri 9
Sat 10
Sun 11

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Mavericks?

Mavericks is usually best with swell from west to northwest (W-NW), ideally northwest (NW) around 3.7 m / 12 ft to 9.1 m / 30 ft, east (E) offshore wind, and low to mid tide.

Where is the surf spot Mavericks?

Mavericks is a surf spot in Moss Beach, California, United States.

What is the surf break like at Mavericks?

Mavericks is a left-and-right reef break over boulders. Expect a busy crowd.

What surfing skill level is Mavericks suitable for?

Mavericks can suit expert surfers.

Is Mavericks beginner friendly for surfing?

Mavericks is better suited to expert surfers.

How consistent is the surf at Mavericks?

Surf consistency at Mavericks is more variable.

What surf spots are near Mavericks?

Other nearby surf spots are Maverick's, Princeton Jetty, Princeton Breakwater, and Half Moon Bay.

What swell direction works for surfing at Mavericks?

Mavericks can work with swell from west to northwest (W-NW); northwest (NW) is usually best.

What swell size works for surfing at Mavericks?

Mavericks usually works with swell around 3.7 m / 12 ft to 9.1 m / 30 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Mavericks?

East (E) offshore wind is usually best at Mavericks.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Mavericks?

East (E) is offshore at Mavericks.

What tide works best for surfing at Mavericks?

Mavericks works best around low to mid tide. A rising tide is usually better here.

Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

๐ŸŽฏ Model agreement

The small letter in the wind and wave cells shows how closely the weather models we blend agree for that hour.

  • H, the models line up closely.
  • M, the models differ somewhat, so conditions may still shift.
  • L, the models disagree, so check again closer to your session.
  • A dash means only one model covered this hour, so there was nothing to compare.

For wind we compare each model's wind vector, plus gusts where every model reports them. For waves we compare height, period and direction of the matched swell systems.

It is a measure of model agreement, not a probability that the forecast is right.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"

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