Maverick's
Hourly
Confidence
Compare
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⚡️kJ
Tuesday 04
Wednesday 05
Thursday 06
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Saturday 08
Sunday 09
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Timezone: America/Los_Angeles
Wind: GFS (20251104 12z)
Waves: GFS WAVE (20251104 12z)

Maverick's surf guide

Maverick's is a well-known surf spot located less than half a mile off Pillar Point, famous for its massive waves and powerful conditions. It’s an intimidating place for many, drawing in both advanced surfers and big-wave enthusiasts. The break is marked by a set of boulders that resemble Stonehenge, with notable spots like Mushroom Rock on the south and Sail Rock on the north. Surfing here is not for the faint-hearted, and it’s important for surfers to know what they’re getting into.

The waves at Maverick's can really pack a punch, handling swell sizes from about 8 to 24 meters (25 to 80 feet). The go-to swell directions are West and West-Northwest. On the biggest days, you'll find the Outer Bowl offering the steepest takeoff 100 yards out. The Corner serves as the peak for rights, which can be a thrilling ride when surfers make the right call. It’s also crucial to stay clear of the Cauldron, a spot notorious for its harsh conditions. Rides typically favor the right and can go long, while the left is often shorter and more explosive. For those looking to paddle out, you’ll need to be an expert; the conditions can get really strong, especially with XXL swells.

If you’re considering heading out, the best tides are low to mid, and ideal winds come from the North-Northeast to East. Crowding can be an issue out there, so expect a mix of serious surfers and plenty of spectators. Parking can be hit or miss, and if you don't find a spot, Wave Runners from Pillar Point Harbor can be a good option to reach the waves. Overall, this spot is serious business and definitely not for beginners, so make sure you’re prepared and skilled enough before you paddle out.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Maverick's

Half Moon Bay
California, United States
Beach break
Tue 4
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Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Princeton Breakwater
California, United States
Unknown break
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Princeton Jetty
California, United States
Jetty break
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
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Mavericks
California, United States
Reef break
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Maverick's
California, United States
Reef break, Offshore break, Canyon break
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
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Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

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Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

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Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

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We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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