Monahan's Dock
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: America/New_York
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Friday 29
Saturday 30
Sunday 31
Monday 01
Tuesday 02
Wednesday 03
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Monahan's Dock surf guide

Monahan's Dock, also known as State Pier #5 and Tucker's Dock, is a notable surf spot in Rhode Island. This rocky pier sets the stage for some intense surfing, attracting experienced surfers looking for a challenge. It's known for its heavy waves and can get quite crowded, especially during the busy surf seasons of autumn and winter.

The waves here mostly break over boulders and offer both left and right options, with the right being the more powerful and hollow ride. Optimal swell direction is from the south, but it can handle swells coming from the east and other southern angles. The spot works well with swell sizes from about 2 meters (6 ft) to 3 meters (10 ft). Low and mid tides are preferred for the best sessions, producing those thick, dredging barrels when the conditions align just right. While the take-off can be tricky, especially at low tide, a higher tide allows for an easier paddle out into the lineup that still keeps some fun wall sections.

Crowds can be a major issue here, with tensions rising when more than a couple of surfers are out at once. It’s a place that demands respect and skill, so if you’re not an expert, it might be worth looking for a less crowded spot nearby. With a consistent offshore wind from the west and a unique reef setup, Monahan's Dock is definitely one of the more powerful breaks on the East Coast, but it's not for the faint-hearted. It’s good to know that a lot of boards can get damaged here due to the heavy nature of the waves and the rocky bottom, so familiarity and confidence are key.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Monahan's Dock

Matunuck
Rhode Island, United States
Reef break
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9
K38/39
Rhode Island, United States
Reef break
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9
Lighthouse Southside
Rhode Island, United States
Point break
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9
Pilgrim Avenue
Rhode Island, United States
Point break
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9
Point Judith
Rhode Island, United States
Point break
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9
Lighthouse
Rhode Island, United States
Point break
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9
Scarborough
Rhode Island, United States
Beach break
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9
Monahan's Dock
Rhode Island, United States
Reef break
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9
Narragansett Beach
Rhode Island, United States
Beach break
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9
Bonnet Point
Rhode Island, United States
Point break
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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