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Surf forecast for Mullet Bay

Tide
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Timezone:
America/Lower_Princes
Forecast updated:
19/06, 08:00
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260619 00z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260619 00z)
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Timeline

Mullet Bay Surf Forecast Guide

Mullet Bay is a beachbreak located on the island that offers a mix of wave action suitable for surfers. It's a spot that doesn't get too crowded, making it a great place to catch some waves without having to deal with long lines. The scenery is nice, and the vibe here is pretty laid-back, perfect for a relaxed surf session.

This beachbreak tends to work best on a NorthWest swell, and it can hold swell sizes around 2ft to 6ft (0.6m to 1.8m). The lefts are usually the standout option, but they can close out on larger swells, giving way for the rights to shine when the conditions are right. The waves break over sand, making them suitable for all levels of surfers, including beginners. It’s best to paddle out during low to mid tide, and the ideal wind direction is out of the NorthEast.

When the conditions align, Mullet Bay can produce some hollow waves close to shore, making it a popular spot for bodyboarders as well. Overall, if you're looking for a less crowded beachbreak with the potential for fun waves, Mullet Bay is worth checking out.

Surf spots near Mullet Bay

Plum Bay
Collectivité de Saint-Martin, Saint Martin
Unknown break
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Friar's Bay
Collectivité de Saint-Martin, Saint Martin
Beach break
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Cupecoy
Sint Maarten, Sint Maarten
Reef break
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Mullet Bay
Sint Maarten, Sint Maarten
Beach break
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Guana Bay
[no name], Sint Maarten
Beach break
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Mullet Bay?

Mullet Bay is usually best with swell from northwest to north (NW-N), ideally northwest (NW) around 0.6 m / 2 ft to 1.8 m / 6 ft, northeast (NE) offshore wind, and any tide.

Where is the surf spot Mullet Bay?

Mullet Bay is a surf spot in Simpson Bay, Sint Maarten.

What is the surf break like at Mullet Bay?

Mullet Bay is a left-and-right beach break over sand. Expect a fairly quiet crowd.

What surfing skill level is Mullet Bay suitable for?

Mullet Bay can suit beginner surfers.

Is Mullet Bay beginner friendly for surfing?

Yes. Mullet Bay can suit beginner surfers when conditions are manageable.

How consistent is the surf at Mullet Bay?

Surf consistency at Mullet Bay is more variable.

Is there parking for surfing at Mullet Bay?

Parking around Mullet Bay: free parking and roadside parking.

What surf spots are near Mullet Bay?

Other nearby surf spots are Cupecoy, Plum Bay, Friar's Bay, and Guana Bay.

What swell direction works for surfing at Mullet Bay?

Mullet Bay can work with swell from northwest to north (NW-N); northwest (NW) is usually best.

What swell size works for surfing at Mullet Bay?

Mullet Bay usually works with swell around 0.6 m / 2 ft to 1.8 m / 6 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Mullet Bay?

Northeast (NE) offshore wind is usually best at Mullet Bay.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Mullet Bay?

Northeast (NE) is offshore at Mullet Bay.

What tide works best for surfing at Mullet Bay?

Mullet Bay can work on all tides. A rising tide is usually better here.

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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.