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Surf forecast for Murphys

Tide
โฑ๏ธs.
โšก๏ธkJ
Timezone:
Africa/Johannesburg
Forecast updated:
23/06, 20:00
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260623 18z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260623 18z)
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Timeline

Murphys Surf Forecast Guide

Murphys is a popular surf spot located not far from the point, making it easily accessible for surfers looking to catch some waves. It's known for its beachbreak and reef setups, giving surfers a good range of options depending on the conditions. The spot can get crowded at times, especially since it attracts both locals and visitors eager to enjoy the surf.

The most reliable waves here are found at Murphys reef and the sand peak. You can expect punchy and hollow lefts, which are great when the swell is in. The optimal swell direction is Southeast, but it also works with swells coming from the East and Southwest. Murphys can handle swell sizes starting from 1ft (about 0.3 meters) and has both reef and sand breaks. Surfers can ride both left and right waves here. For the best experience, aim for low to mid tide, and if you're fishing for those favorable conditions, a NorthWest wind tends to work best. This spot is better suited for intermediate surfers due to its punchy nature.

If you're exploring around, there's more beachbreak and reefs to discover closer to Brenton-on-Sea. So if Murphys is feeling crowded or not quite right, don't hesitate to check out those nearby spots.

Surf spots near Murphys

Gerickes Point
Western Cape, South Africa
Point break
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Goukamma
Western Cape, South Africa
Beach break
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Murphys
Western Cape, South Africa
Reef break
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Buffalo Point
Western Cape, South Africa
Point break
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
The Wedge
Western Cape, South Africa
Beach break
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Murphys?

Murphys is usually best with swell from east through south to southwest (E-S-SW), ideally southeast (SE) around 0.3 m / 1 ft to 1.8 m / 6 ft, northwest (NW) offshore wind, and any tide.

Where is the surf spot Murphys?

Murphys is a surf spot in Buffels Bay, Western Cape, South Africa.

What is the surf break like at Murphys?

Murphys is a left-and-right reef break over uneven reef and sand. Expect a moderate crowd.

What surfing skill level is Murphys suitable for?

Murphys can suit intermediate surfers.

Is Murphys beginner friendly for surfing?

Murphys is better suited to intermediate surfers.

How consistent is the surf at Murphys?

Murphys is one of the most consistent surf spots in Western Cape, South Africa.

What surf spots are near Murphys?

Other nearby surf spots are Buffalo Point, Goukamma, Gerickes Point, and The Wedge.

What swell direction works for surfing at Murphys?

Murphys can work with swell from east through south to southwest (E-S-SW); southeast (SE) is usually best.

What swell size works for surfing at Murphys?

Murphys usually works with swell around 0.3 m / 1 ft to 1.8 m / 6 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Murphys?

Northwest (NW) offshore wind is usually best at Murphys.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Murphys?

Northwest (NW) is offshore at Murphys.

What tide works best for surfing at Murphys?

Murphys can work on all tides. A rising tide is usually better here.

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Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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