Nagata
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: Asia/Tokyo
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Monday 22
Tuesday 23
Wednesday 24
Thursday 25
Friday 26
Saturday 27
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Nagata surf guide

Nagata is a surf spot that mainly attracts those in the know. It’s not the kind of place you can hit on just any day, as it only breaks a handful of times each year. When it's good, though, it serves up a solid left point break. The area can get pretty busy with experienced surfers, so it’s best suited for the experts out there looking for a challenge.

For surfing, this spot is optimal with a southeast swell direction, but it can also work with south swells. It handles swell sizes starting from about 2 feet (0.6 meters) and can go up to double overhead on a big southeast typhoon swell. Waves break over an uneven reef, making it important to be aware of the underwater layout. The preferred wind direction is from the northeast, and you can catch waves during low, mid, and high tide, but the surf is best when the conditions line up just right.

Given that Nagata is an expert-only spot, it’s crucial to have the right skills and knowledge of the ocean. It can get quite crowded when it starts to break, so being on your game and ready to paddle for the best waves is key. If you’re looking for a quality session and fit the bill, this might just be the place to check out when it’s firing.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Nagata

Kisakihama
Miyazaki, Japan
Beach break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Tue 30
Wed 1
Thu 2
Fri 3
Aoshima
Miyazaki, Japan
Reef break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Tue 30
Wed 1
Thu 2
Fri 3
Uchiumi
Miyazaki, Japan
Reef break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Tue 30
Wed 1
Thu 2
Fri 3
Curren's
Miyazaki, Japan
Reef break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Tue 30
Wed 1
Thu 2
Fri 3
Chokusen
Miyazaki, Japan
Reef break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Tue 30
Wed 1
Thu 2
Fri 3
Udo Shrine
Miyazaki, Japan
Reef break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Tue 30
Wed 1
Thu 2
Fri 3
Oura
Miyazaki, Japan
Reef break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Tue 30
Wed 1
Thu 2
Fri 3
Umegahama Rivermouth
Miyazaki, Japan
Rivermouth break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Tue 30
Wed 1
Thu 2
Fri 3
Nagata
Miyazaki, Japan
Point break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Tue 30
Wed 1
Thu 2
Fri 3
Chinbotsu
Kagoshima, Japan
Reef break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Tue 30
Wed 1
Thu 2
Fri 3
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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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