Pohakuloa
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: Pacific/Honolulu
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Saturday 13
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Monday 15
Tuesday 16
Wednesday 17
Thursday 18
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Pohakuloa surf guide

Pohakuloa is located on the northern edge of Lanai, just outside of Lanai City. This beach has a raw feel with sandy shores and a rugged coastline lined with reef points that offer both lefts and rights. Accessing Pohakuloa can be a bit of an adventure as it's only reachable by dirt roads, which generally means you’ll need a 4X4 to get there. The area has a chill vibe, and you can expect a variety of spots to choose from without dealing with big crowds.

The surf at Pohakuloa is pretty consistent throughout the year, particularly with ENE trade swells filtering in between Molokai and Maui. The waves usually come with breezy trade winds, so be prepared for that. The main swell directions are from the Northeast (about 1.2 to 2.4 meters) and can handle sizes from 1.2 to 2.4 meters (4 to 8 feet). You might catch the best conditions in winter during a solid ENE swell and prefrontal south winds. When the larger NW swells wrap around Molokai, you can also see some nice action here. Most of the surf spots are reef breaks over lava and coral, and they primarily offer right and left waves. A long paddle from the beach is needed to reach most breaks, but once you’re out there, the rides can be pretty enjoyable, though expect a long paddle back afterwards.

Winter tends to be the optimal season for good surfing conditions, and the best winds usually come around this time. Winds from the East-Southeast up to the West-Southwest are preferable. The crowd factor is generally low to minimal, so there’s a good chance you’ll find a spot to yourself. However, be mindful of the environment, including potential hazards like reefs and currents. This is a place for intermediate to expert surfers, and a variety of boards like shortboards, funboards, longboards, and even kiteboards can be used here.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Pohakuloa

S-Turns
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Rainbows
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Mala Wharf
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Lahaina Harbour
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Lahaina Breakwall
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Shark Pit
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Lopa Beach
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Kaiolohia Bay/Shipwreck Beach
Hawaii, United States
Reef break, Offshore break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Pohakuloa
Hawaii, United States
Reef break, Point break, Offshore break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Manele Bay
Hawaii, United States
Reef break, Point break
Sat 13
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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