Rocky Point
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: Pacific/Honolulu
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Wednesday 27
Thursday 28
Friday 29
Saturday 30
Sunday 31
Monday 01
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Rocky Point surf guide

Rocky Point is located on the North Shore and is known for its flat, curving reef that spans about 250 yards. This spot is one of the most consistent places to catch waves, breaking anywhere from chest high (about 0.6 meters) to double overhead (up to 3 meters) during winter swells. The waves here can be fun across a variety of conditions, and it's a well-known spot for surfers looking for that reliable ride. Expect a good mix of crowds, especially when the conditions are right.

The waves at Rocky Point are pretty varied, offering both rights and lefts that cater to different types of surfers. The best swells come from the Northwest (WNW) direction, but it can also handle West (W) and North (N) swells to a decent extent. On good days, you’ll find a series of rights that can hold up nicely and offer some fun walls and tubes, especially in N-NW swells. Meanwhile, W-NW swells provide a combination of right and left breaks, with some of the more prime waves happening on the left peak that can peel down the reef. With an uneven reef bottom, the waves can be a mix of clean barrels and areas that offer a variety of maneuvers, but just keep in mind that some parts are sharper and might catch you off guard.

The best tide to hit Rocky Point is usually between low and peak high, and it can handle all tides. Calm or light winds from the southeast (SE) work best, although the typical ENE trades can be alright if they’re not too strong. Crowds can be heavy when it’s good, so patience is key, and respect among surfers is a must. It’s a spot suitable for intermediate surfers and beyond, and it's great for shortboards, bodyboards, and even bodysurfing. Access is straightforward, with parking nearby and a path leading to the beach.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Rocky Point

Velzyland
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Backyards
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Sunset
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Rocky Point
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Chambers
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Ehukai
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Pipeline & Backdoor
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Off-The-Wall
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Rockpile
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Log Cabins
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Wed 27
Thu 28
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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