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Surf forecast for Santo Tomas

Tide
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Timezone:
America/Tijuana
Forecast updated:
21/06, 17:00
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260622 00z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260622 00z)
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Timeline

Santo Tomas Surf Forecast Guide

Santo Tomas is a surf spot located just south of Ensenada. To get there, you’ll need to navigate some dirt trails, as the highway veers away from the coast. This spot offers some protection from the wind and is known for its rights at the south-facing point, along with a rocky beach break and a rivermouth. The surrounding area has camping and accommodation options for those looking to stay a bit longer.

This surf spot works best with a west swell, but it can also handle south and northwest swells. You can expect waves that comfortably reach about 3 feet (around 0.9 meters), breaking over uneven reef. The point offers right waves, which are quite appealing, especially when the wind is coming from the north. It’s a decent place for intermediate surfers, as it can handle a variety of tide heights—low, mid, or high—giving you plenty of options for a good session.

If you’re planning to visit, keep in mind that a 4WD vehicle is recommended for access. The kelp in the area often helps to keep the water nice and glassy, making for a more enjoyable surf experience. Just follow the signs for La Bocana or Punta China to find your way.

Surf spots near Santo Tomas

Ensenada Beaches
Baja California, Mexico
Unknown break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Lighthouse (Punta San Jose)
Baja California, Mexico
Unknown break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Todos Santos / Killers
Baja California, Mexico
Reef break, Point break, Canyon break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Santo Tomas
Baja California, Mexico
Point break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Boca De Santo Tomas
Baja California, Mexico
Unknown break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Santo Tomas?

Santo Tomas is usually best with swell from south through west-southwest to northwest (S-WSW-NW), ideally west (W) around 0.9 m / 3 ft to 3 m / 10 ft, north (N) offshore wind, and any tide.

Where is the surf spot Santo Tomas?

Santo Tomas is a surf spot in La Bocana, Baja California, Mexico.

What is the surf break like at Santo Tomas?

Santo Tomas is a right point break over uneven reef. Expect a moderate crowd.

What surfing skill level is Santo Tomas suitable for?

Santo Tomas can suit intermediate surfers.

Is Santo Tomas beginner friendly for surfing?

Santo Tomas is better suited to intermediate surfers.

How consistent is the surf at Santo Tomas?

Santo Tomas has moderate surf consistency for Baja California, Mexico.

What facilities are available for surfers at Santo Tomas?

Facilities for surfers at Santo Tomas: camping.

Is there parking for surfing at Santo Tomas?

Parking around Santo Tomas: free parking and roadside parking.

What surf spots are near Santo Tomas?

Other nearby surf spots are Boca De Santo Tomas, Lighthouse (Punta San Jose), Ensenada Beaches, and Todos Santos / Killers.

What swell direction works for surfing at Santo Tomas?

Santo Tomas can work with swell from south through west-southwest to northwest (S-WSW-NW); west (W) is usually best.

What swell size works for surfing at Santo Tomas?

Santo Tomas usually works with swell around 0.9 m / 3 ft to 3 m / 10 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Santo Tomas?

North (N) offshore wind is usually best at Santo Tomas.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Santo Tomas?

North (N) is offshore at Santo Tomas.

What tide works best for surfing at Santo Tomas?

Santo Tomas can work on all tides. A rising tide is usually better here.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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