Sauble Beach
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Timezone: America/Toronto

Sauble Beach surf guide

Sauble Beach is a well-known spot located in the southern part of Georgian Bay. It offers a long stretch of sandy shoreline that's popular among surfers and kiters alike. The beach is a great place to chill out, but it can be hit-or-miss when it comes to wave quality. Expect a casual vibe, with surfers of various skill levels enjoying the water.

For surfing, Sauble Beach can provide mellow to juicy waves, especially with a Northwest (NW) or Southwest (SW) wind. The area handles swell sizes from around 2 feet (0.6 meters) and favors NW and SW swell directions. The waves break over sand, which is suitable for beginners. You can catch waves going both left and right, making it a nice spot for those just starting out or looking to improve their skills. Waves can work at low, mid, and high tides, giving you some flexibility on when to hit the water.

It's worth noting that the environment can be windy and occasionally messy, which might affect the wave quality. Keep an eye on the conditions, especially with the possibility of more consistent waves during NW gales. Overall, Sauble Beach is a solid spot to consider if you're looking for a beach break that suits a range of abilities, especially beginners.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Sauble Beach

Harbor Jetty โ€“ Great Lakes
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
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Wright Park Beach
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South Pier โ€“ Great Lakes
Michigan, United States
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Pleasant Beach
Ontario, Canada
Beach break
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
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The Bridge - Great Lakes
Ontario, Canada
Beach break
Thu 23
Fri 24
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Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
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Palmwood Point
Ontario, Canada
Reef break
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
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Sat 1
Sun 2
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Sauble Beach
Ontario, Canada
Beach break
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Sandbanks
Ontario, Canada
Beach break
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Horseshoe Bay
Michigan, United States
Beach break
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Stony Point โ€“ Great Lakes
New York, United States
Reef break
Thu 23
Fri 24
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Thu 30
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Sat 1
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Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"

Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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