Shitpipe
Hourly
Confidence
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Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
Timezone: America/Los_Angeles
Wind: GFS (20251103 06z)
Waves: GFS WAVE (20251103 06z)

Shitpipe surf guide

Shitpipe is an interesting surf spot located just off of LAX, known mainly for its novelty factor. The spot gets active during big winter swells, especially when a left-hand wave starts peeling off an old sewer pipe caisson that stretches about a mile out to sea. It's pretty visible from Vista del Mar, and the name kind of sets the vibe for what to expect here. The area around is not the most scenic, and the surf spot can be a bit hard to find if you're not aware of its location.

When the conditions align, Shitpipe offers decently lined-up lefts, especially in the right swell conditions. It can handle swell sizes from 6 feet (about 1.8 meters) up to 12 feet (approximately 3.7 meters), primarily with swells coming from the South-Southwest, Southwest, and West-Southwest. The best times to surf here are when the tide is low or low-to-mid, as it works best under these tidal conditions. The bottom composition includes a mix of sand and barnacles, and the surf type is mostly beach breaks. So, if you’re planning to paddle out, just know that it usually doesn’t start working until it’s a few feet overhead, meaning you'll need to put in some effort to get out there.

Shitpipe tends to not get too crowded, which is a nice bonus for those looking to score some waves without fighting for space. However, be prepared for some aggressive locals, especially if your surfing skills aren't up to par. It’s a spot suited for more experienced surfers, particularly as it attracts a certain crowd during the winter months (November to February). When you do decide to head out, keep an eye on the wind, as easterly directions work best. Shitpipe might not be the most polished spot, but if you’re in the area and the swell is right, it’s worth checking out.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Shitpipe

El Porto Beach
California, United States
Beach break
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
New Jetty
California, United States
Unknown break
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Shitpipe
California, United States
Beach break
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
D & W
California, United States
Unknown break
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Ballona Creek/The Jetty
California, United States
Unknown break
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wed 5
Thu 6
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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