Swamis
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: America/Los_Angeles
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Swamis surf guide

Swamis is a well-known surf spot located in Encinitas, California, right near the Self-Realization Fellowship. This spot is special because it offers a right reef point break, which is not too common in San Diego. It's a popular spot for surfers, especially during the winter months when the waves get pretty consistent. While you might find decent waves here year-round, it does need a solid swell to really show its potential. When it gets going, it can be the center of action for surfers in North County.

At Swamis, you'll find waves ranging from waist high (about 0.6 m) to well over double overhead (around 4.5 m). The best conditions usually come from a west or northwest swell within 15 seconds or less. The tide plays a big role, with lower tides making for faster and steeper waves. As you paddle out, watch for the drop; it’s generally mellow at first, but then the wave really picks up speed as it works its way across the shallow ledge towards the inside. Most of the rides are right-handers, but there's a left you can grab if things aren't going your way. It’s a good idea to have at least intermediate skills here, since it can get hectic with locals paddling out and waiting for their turn.

If you decide to surf Swamis, be prepared for the crowd. It can be pretty packed, especially on good days when the waves are firing. The local vibe has its ups and downs, so while you might encounter some friendly faces, expect some competitive energy in the water. Paddling back after a good ride will also require some effort, as it’s a long haul back to the lineup. The season here generally runs from autumn through winter, with the best conditions showing up from November to March. Bring your shortboard, fish, funboard, longboard, or even bodyboard to make the most of the waves.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Swamis

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Swamis
California, United States
Reef break
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9
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"Great Forecasts. Nothing more, nothing less."

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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