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Surf forecast for Te Kapu

Tide
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Timezone:
Pacific/Auckland
Forecast updated:
25/06, 12:00
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260624 12z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260624 12z)
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Timeline

Te Kapu Surf Forecast Guide

Overview

Te Kapu is a pair of quality reef breaks, First Reef and Second Reef, both fun right-handers with room for high-performance turns. The waves break over uneven reef. If the reefs are messy from wind, the beach break may be worth a look.

There are more scrappy bits of reef towards the Boat Harbour in front of the white sandstone cliffs.

When It Works

Te Kapu takes swell from northeast to southeast, with northeast the optimal direction. It works from 0.6 m / 2 ft to 2.4 m / 8 ft. Consistency is a bit hit-and-miss.

Wind and Tide

The offshore wind is southwest. Mid tide is best, and a rising tide is better.

Local Tips

This spot suits intermediate surfers. It is usually fairly quiet.

Access

From Napier, head north on Pandora Road / State Highway 2, then follow Meeanee Quay and Main North Road out of the city. Continue through Wairoa, then at Nuhaka go straight through the roundabout onto Nuhaka Opoutama Road. Turn right onto Ormond Drive, continue through Mahia Beach onto Mahia East Coast Road, then follow the road across to the east coast of the Mahia Peninsula and south of Mahia, just south of The Spit.

Parking is free on the roadside.

Surf spots near Te Kapu

Boat Harbour
Hawke's Bay Region, New Zealand
Reef break
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Te Kapu
Hawke's Bay Region, New Zealand
Reef break
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Mahia Spit
Hawke's Bay Region, New Zealand
Reef break
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Mahia South East Coast
Hawke's Bay Region, New Zealand
Beach break
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29
Mahia Reef
Hawke's Bay Region, New Zealand
Point break
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Mon 29

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Te Kapu?

Te Kapu is usually best with swell from northeast to southeast (NE-SE), ideally northeast (NE) around 0.6 m / 2 ft to 2.4 m / 8 ft, southwest (SW) offshore wind, and mid tide. Mid tide is the preferred tide.

Where is the surf spot Te Kapu?

Te Kapu is a surf spot in Māhia, Hawke's Bay Region, New Zealand.

What is the surf break like at Te Kapu?

Te Kapu is a right reef break over uneven reef. Expect a fairly quiet crowd.

What surfing skill level is Te Kapu suitable for?

Te Kapu can suit intermediate surfers.

Is Te Kapu beginner friendly for surfing?

Te Kapu is better suited to intermediate surfers.

How consistent is the surf at Te Kapu?

Surf consistency at Te Kapu is more variable.

Is there parking for surfing at Te Kapu?

Parking around Te Kapu: free parking and roadside parking.

What surf spots are near Te Kapu?

Other nearby surf spots are Mahia Spit, Boat Harbour, Mahia Reef, and Mahia South East Coast.

What swell direction works for surfing at Te Kapu?

Te Kapu can work with swell from northeast to southeast (NE-SE); northeast (NE) is usually best.

What swell size works for surfing at Te Kapu?

Te Kapu usually works with swell around 0.6 m / 2 ft to 2.4 m / 8 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Te Kapu?

Southwest (SW) offshore wind is usually best at Te Kapu.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Te Kapu?

Southwest (SW) is offshore at Te Kapu.

What tide works best for surfing at Te Kapu?

Te Kapu works best around mid tide. Mid tide is preferred. A rising tide is usually better here.

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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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