The Bluff
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: Australia/Brisbane
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Friday 29
Saturday 30
Sunday 31
Monday 01
Tuesday 02
Wednesday 03
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The Bluff surf guide

The Bluff is a surf spot located at Alexandra Headland, popular among both locals and tourists. It offers a relaxed atmosphere, making it a decent place for surfers of all abilities. The beach can get crowded with longboarders and beachgoers, especially on good days, but the vibe remains mostly chill. It's a go-to for those looking to enjoy a casual day on the water.

This spot works best with southeast swells, handling sizes up to about 3 feet (0.9 meters). When it gets a bit bigger, the waves can have more power, especially from the south, but it still maintains a fairly forgiving feel. Most of the waves break to the right, with the best action happening at the point. Longboards are common here, particularly in smaller swells, but youโ€™ll find more rights on the inside near the Corner as it transitions into beachbreak lefts. Low, mid, and high tides can all offer surfable waves depending on conditions, making it quite adaptable for different surfers.

While the longboard scene can sometimes be a bit competitive, the atmosphere generally stays mellow. It's a good spot for beginners to practice, thanks to the forgiving nature of the waves. Do keep an eye on the locals, though โ€“ they might be a bit protective of their waves. The preferred wind direction is from the southwest, which can help shape the waves nicely, so check the forecast before heading out.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby The Bluff

Peregian Creek
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Mon 1
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Thu 4
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Sat 30
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Mon 1
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Point Cartwright
Queensland, Australia
Point break
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
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Pin Cushion
Queensland, Australia
Beach break
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
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Sun 7
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Kawana
Queensland, Australia
Beach break
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
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The Bluff
Queensland, Australia
Point break
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9
Long Track
Queensland, Australia
Beach break
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9
Moffats
Queensland, Australia
Reef break
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9
Kings Beach
Queensland, Australia
Beach break
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9
Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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