Tolaga Bay
Pull to refresh
Hourly
Timezone: Pacific/Auckland
โฑ๏ธs.
โšก๏ธkJ
Tuesday 21
Wednesday 22
Thursday 23
Friday 24
Saturday 25
Sunday 26
Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.

Tolaga Bay surf guide

Tolaga Bay is a small, scenic surf spot located on the east coast of New Zealand's North Island. It's known for its beachbreak, which can be a fun place to catch some waves. The highlight here is often the rivermouth bar, a spot that can produce decent waves when conditions are right. Itโ€™s a chill location, perfect for those looking to enjoy a day out in the water.

The surf at Tolaga Bay works best with an easterly swell direction, but it can also handle swells coming from the northeast and southeast. The beachbreak is suitable for swells around 0.6 meters (2 ft) and breaks over sand. You can catch both left and right waves here, with the rivermouth bar often delivering some solid rides. For the best experience, aim for low to mid to high tide, and you'll also want a westerly wind for optimal conditions. Itโ€™s generally a spot suited for intermediate surfers, so keep that in mind when you paddle out.

When the swells are larger, you can use the 600-meter wharf to get out back, which can be a handy way to access better waves. Overall, Tolaga Bay has its moments and can be worth a visit if you're in the area looking for a surf session.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Tolaga Bay

Makarori Point
Gisborne, New Zealand
Reef break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
North Makarori Reef
Gisborne, New Zealand
Reef break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Pouawa Beach
Gisborne, New Zealand
Beach break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Whangara
Gisborne, New Zealand
Beach break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Loisells Beach
Gisborne, New Zealand
Beach break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Cook's Point
Gisborne, New Zealand
Point break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Tolaga Bay
Gisborne, New Zealand
Rivermouth break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Three Points/Marau Point
Gisborne, New Zealand
Point break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Tokomaru Bay
Gisborne, New Zealand
Point break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Waipiro Bay
Gisborne, New Zealand
Point break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Share
Surfnerd Logo
Join Surfnerd+
Help keep Surfnerd independent and ad-free while we build the future of surf forecasting.
What you get today:
  • Support
    independent
    surf forecasting
  • 12-day
    forecast range
    (vs 6-day)
  • 1-hour
    forecast steps
    (vs 3-hour)
Coming in November 2025:
  • ECMWF
    forecast model
    (higher accuracy)
  • Compare
    wind and wave models
"Great Forecasts. Nothing more, nothing less."
By purchasing the product, you accept the Terms of Use & acknowledge the Privacy policy.
Join Surfnerd for free
  • Save favorite spots
  • Set home spot
  • Log surf sessions
Sign up with AppleSign up with Google

Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"

Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Surfnerd for iOS: Faster loading, smoother experience.
Download on the App Store