Topsail Beach
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Timezone: America/New_York
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Tuesday 21
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Topsail Beach surf guide

Topsail Beach is the southern beach on Topsail Island. Itโ€™s known for being a bit inconsistent when it comes to waves, but when itโ€™s on, you can catch some decent rides. The main surfing area is around the Jolly Roger Pier, which serves as a key landmark for surfers looking for action. Getting to the beach is straightforward with plenty of access lots available, making it easy to grab your gear and hit the surf.

The surf here can vary quite a bit, handling swell sizes from about 3ft to 6ft (0.9m to 1.8m). The best waves come from the South (S), Southeast (SE), and East-Southeast (ESE) directions. You can expect both lefts and rights to break over sand, making it user-friendly for various skill levels. Low to mid tide works best, and the ideal winds are from the North and Northwest. Itโ€™s generally suitable for beginners and intermediate surfers looking to ride longboards, fish, shortboards, or even bodyboards. Just remember, the surf is often inconsistent, so youโ€™ll need some patience to score good sessions.

While youโ€™re out there, be aware of some local hazards, like sea lice, which can be a nuisance. After-sunburn lotion with aloe can help ease that issue. The surf season is mainly storm-dependent, with tropical cyclones bringing in action in late summer and fall, while fronts can pick up in late fall through winter and spring. Overall, Topsail Beach has its moments, but donโ€™t expect a daily bomb; itโ€™s hit or miss.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Topsail Beach

Surf City Pier
North Carolina, United States
Beach break, Pier break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Topsail Beach
North Carolina, United States
Beach break, Pier break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Topsail Island
North Carolina, United States
Unknown break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Figure Eight and Shell Islands
North Carolina, United States
Beach break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
The Point
North Carolina, United States
Beach break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
C Street, Wrightsville Beach
North Carolina, United States
Beach break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Columbia Street
North Carolina, United States
Beach break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Crystal Pier
North Carolina, United States
Beach break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Oceanic Pier
North Carolina, United States
Unknown break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Masonboro Inlet
North Carolina, United States
Unknown break
Tue 21
Wed 22
Thu 23
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

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We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

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Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
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Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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