Vaddo
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: Europe/Stockholm
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Saturday 13
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Vaddo surf guide

Vaddo is an island located north of Stockholm. It offers several surf breaks, including Mats Väg, which is known for its decent left-hand waves. The spot doesn’t get surfed often, as it only breaks a few times a year, and when it does, conditions can be quite chilly. Surfers should be prepared for a cold adventure.

The waves here can handle swell sizes starting from about 2ft (0.6m) and are best when the swell comes from the North or Northeast. The wave breaks over uneven reef and offers a point setup, predominantly breaking left. It’s important to note that Vaddo needs a strong north wind of 15 m/s or more to work well, but the big cliff nearby provides some shelter from the wind. The small take-off zone and strong current can make it tricky to position yourself, so some intermediate skills are needed to get the most out of the waves. The spot works well at any tide; low, mid, or high tides can offer different options.

Even though it's not the most reliable surf spot, Vaddo can produce hollow waves up to head high when conditions align. The surf experience here can be a bit of a challenge due to the positioning and current, but for those who are up for it, it’s definitely worth checking out when the swell is right.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Vaddo

Sikhjalma
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Point break
Sat 13
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Vaddo
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Point break
Sat 13
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Torö Stenstrand
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Reef break
Sat 13
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Angjarnsudden
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sat 13
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Haga Park
Kalmar County, Sweden
Reef break
Sat 13
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Gronhogen
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sat 13
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Hogklint
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sat 13
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Tofta
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sat 13
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Kappelhamnsviken
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Point break
Sat 13
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Faro Island
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sat 13
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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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