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Surf forecast for Whale Bay (Raglan)

Tide
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Timezone:
Pacific/Auckland
Forecast updated:
22/06, 18:00
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260621 12z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260621 12z)
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Timeline

Whale Bay (Raglan) Surf Forecast Guide

Overview

Whale Bay (Raglan) is a left-hand point breaking over boulders. It has a reputation as the lesser of Raglan’s three left points, but it is still an excellent wave and can pack a punch at smaller sizes when it breaks close to the rocks and sections on the headland east of the bay.

On bigger days the wall tends to lose steepness and roll along, unless the swell is more west to northwest, when it can barrel over the boulders.

When It Works

Whale Bay is consistent and takes swell from southwest to northwest, with southwest as the optimal swell direction. It is usable from 0.6 m / 2 ft to 3.7 m / 12 ft.

Wind and Tide

The offshore wind direction is southeast. It can be surfed on low, mid, and high tide, with a rising tide better.

Local Tips

This spot suits intermediate surfers. It is often slightly less crowded than the other two Raglan points and has fewer locals, which can give intermediates more of a chance.

Watch the rocks, as some can pop up suddenly. The jump-off spot is tricky, so take care.

Access

From Raglan, come in on Main Road, which becomes Bow Street. At the first roundabout, turn left onto Bankart Street, then left at the next roundabout onto Wainui Road. Continue past Manu Bay Reserve, turn right onto Calvert Road, then right onto Tohora Close.

Park around Tohora Close, using the free car park or roadside parking. It can be very busy in summer. A walkway at the end of Tohora Close leads past the houses and down to the beach. Restrooms are available.

Surf spots near Whale Bay (Raglan)

Raglan Bar
Waikato Region, New Zealand
Beach break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Ngarunui Beach
Waikato Region, New Zealand
Beach break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Manu Bay
Waikato Region, New Zealand
Point break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Whale Bay (Raglan)
Waikato Region, New Zealand
Point break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Indicators (Raglan)
Waikato Region, New Zealand
Point break
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Whale Bay (Raglan)?

Whale Bay (Raglan) is usually best with swell from southwest to northwest (SW-NW), ideally southwest (SW) around 0.6 m / 2 ft to 3.7 m / 12 ft, southeast (SE) offshore wind, and any tide.

Where is the surf spot Whale Bay (Raglan)?

Whale Bay (Raglan) is a surf spot in Raglan, Waikato Region, New Zealand.

What is the surf break like at Whale Bay (Raglan)?

Whale Bay (Raglan) is a left point break over boulders. Expect a busy crowd.

What surfing skill level is Whale Bay (Raglan) suitable for?

Whale Bay (Raglan) can suit intermediate surfers.

Is Whale Bay (Raglan) beginner friendly for surfing?

Whale Bay (Raglan) is better suited to intermediate surfers.

How consistent is the surf at Whale Bay (Raglan)?

Whale Bay (Raglan) is one of the more consistent surf spots in Waikato Region, New Zealand.

What facilities are available for surfers at Whale Bay (Raglan)?

Facilities for surfers at Whale Bay (Raglan): restrooms.

Is there parking for surfing at Whale Bay (Raglan)?

Parking around Whale Bay (Raglan): free parking, roadside parking, and car park.

What surf spots are near Whale Bay (Raglan)?

Other nearby surf spots are Indicators (Raglan), Manu Bay, Ngarunui Beach, and Raglan Bar.

What swell direction works for surfing at Whale Bay (Raglan)?

Whale Bay (Raglan) can work with swell from southwest to northwest (SW-NW); southwest (SW) is usually best.

What swell size works for surfing at Whale Bay (Raglan)?

Whale Bay (Raglan) usually works with swell around 0.6 m / 2 ft to 3.7 m / 12 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Whale Bay (Raglan)?

Southeast (SE) offshore wind is usually best at Whale Bay (Raglan).

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Whale Bay (Raglan)?

Southeast (SE) is offshore at Whale Bay (Raglan).

What tide works best for surfing at Whale Bay (Raglan)?

Whale Bay (Raglan) can work on all tides. A rising tide is usually better here.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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