Island Beach State Park
Hourly
Confidence
Compare
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Sunday 14
Monday 15
Tuesday 16
Wednesday 17
Thursday 18
Timezone:
America/New_York
Wind: ⭐ UNIFIED
(20251214 02z)
Waves: ⭐ UNIFIED
(20251214 02z)
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Island Beach State Park surf forecast characteristics

Swell window
ENE - SSE
Swell size
2ft - 8ft
Swell breaks over
Sand
Wave types
Beach
Wave directions
Right, Left
Wind window
SW - NW
Works at
Low, Mid
Skill Level
Intermediate, Expert
Seasons
Autumn, Winter
Board types
Shortboard, Fish, Funboard, Longboard, Bodyboard

Island Beach State Park surf forecast guide

Island Beach State Park is a great spot if you're looking to escape the summer crowds. It's one of the few places in New Jersey where you can actually drive on the beach, which makes getting there super easy. The park has multiple sandbars, and it can be a lot of fun when a groundswell hits, but you'll want to pay attention to the wind because there’s nothing to block it. Plus, it’s one of the best spots in the state for fishing, so if you’re into that, don’t forget your gear.

The surf here does best at low to mid tide, and wave sizes can range from around waist high (1 meter) to well overhead (2.5 meters). The area handles a variety of swell directions, including ENE, E, ESE, and even some S/SE. You can expect to ride both right and left waves over a sandy bottom. Most of the time, the paddling isn’t too challenging, but it can depend on where the sandbars are. It’s recommended for intermediate to expert surfers, and you'll find that both shortboards and funboards work well here.

Accessing the beach is straightforward with a small entry fee, and four-wheel drives are allowed, which is handy. The crowd factor tends to be low, with just a few fishermen around, giving a chill vibe to the overall scene. The best seasons for surfing here are autumn and winter, making it a solid spot to check out when the conditions align.

Surf schools and rentals

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Island Beach State Park

Harvey Cedars
New Jersey, United States
Unknown break
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Island Beach State Park
New Jersey, United States
Beach break
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Island Beach State Park
New Jersey, United States
Beach break
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Seaside Park
New Jersey, United States
Beach break
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Meters
New Jersey, United States
Unknown break
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.