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Surf forecast for Lance's Right

Tide
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Timezone:
Asia/Jakarta
Forecast updated:
20/06, 07:00
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260619 12z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260619 12z)
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Lance's Right Surf Forecast Guide

Lance's Right, also known as HT’s, is a surf spot located in the Mentawai Islands. It has gained a reputation among surfers for its stunning waves and somewhat challenging conditions. The spot features a coral platform that attracts those looking for an exciting ride. This place is definitely for experienced surfers, as the waves can be unforgiving.

The waves at Lance's Right are primarily right-handers, breaking over live coral. The optimal swell direction is from the SouthWest, but it can also handle south swells. You can expect decent conditions when the swell sizes reach around 6-8 feet (approximately 1.8-2.4 meters), with a preference for mid to high tides. The best wind conditions are light winds from the West, which help clean up the surf and maintain the wave quality. However, be prepared for the crowd, as this spot can get busy, and you'll need to know what you're doing to navigate these powerful waves.

One thing to keep in mind is that you’ll need to be on your game. The best opportunities for scoring solid waves come during particular tide heights, and the sharp coral can pose risks if you fall. So, make sure you know how to handle duck diving and always plan your entry over the reef to reach the deeper paddling channel. Overall, it’s a spot that rewards skill and patience.

Surf spots near Lance's Right

7 Palms
West Sumatra, Indonesia
Reef break
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Bintangs
West Sumatra, Indonesia
Reef break
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Lance's Right
West Sumatra, Indonesia
Reef break
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Lance's Left
West Sumatra, Indonesia
Reef break
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Silabu
West Sumatra, Indonesia
Reef break
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Lance's Right?

Lance's Right is usually best with swell from south to southwest (S-SW), ideally southwest (SW) around 0.9 m / 3 ft to 3.7 m / 12 ft, west (W) offshore wind, and mid to high tide.

Where is the surf spot Lance's Right?

Lance's Right is a surf spot in Bosua, West Sumatra, Indonesia.

What is the surf break like at Lance's Right?

Lance's Right is a right reef break over live coral.

What surfing skill level is Lance's Right suitable for?

Lance's Right can suit expert surfers.

Is Lance's Right beginner friendly for surfing?

Lance's Right is better suited to expert surfers.

What surf spots are near Lance's Right?

Other nearby surf spots are Lance's Left, Bintangs, 7 Palms, and Silabu.

What swell direction works for surfing at Lance's Right?

Lance's Right can work with swell from south to southwest (S-SW); southwest (SW) is usually best.

What swell size works for surfing at Lance's Right?

Lance's Right usually works with swell around 0.9 m / 3 ft to 3.7 m / 12 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Lance's Right?

West (W) offshore wind is usually best at Lance's Right.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Lance's Right?

West (W) is offshore at Lance's Right.

What tide works best for surfing at Lance's Right?

Lance's Right works best around mid to high tide. A rising tide is usually better here.

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Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.