Mariakerke
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: Europe/Brussels
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Wednesday 03
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Mariakerke surf guide

Mariakerke is a small beach town that’s known for a surf spot called ‘Ollie’s Point’. This area has a laid-back vibe and gets its fair share of surfers looking for some fun waves. It's not the most crowded spot around, but it can still get busy, especially when conditions are right. The beach features standard beach breaks that usually come alive after a big north storm when the wind calms down.

The waves here can handle swell sizes starting from around 1ft (0.3 meters) and work best with a North swell direction, but you might also catch some good ones if the swell comes from the Northwest or Northeast. The breaks over sand, and you can ride both lefts and rights, which is great for surfers at various skill levels. It’s a good spot for beginners since it’s pretty forgiving, especially at mid to high tides with a preferred southeast wind. Just keep an eye on the rips; they can be a little tricky at times.

While Ollie’s Point is a highlight, there are plenty of other similar waves up and down the beach that might suit your preference better on certain days. Don't hesitate to explore; you might find a hidden gem nearby that’s less crowded and just as fun.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Mariakerke

Calais
Hauts De France, France
Beach break
Wed 3
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Oostduinkerke
Flanders, Belgium
Beach break
Wed 3
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Westende
Flanders, Belgium
Beach break
Wed 3
Thu 4
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Sun 14
Mariakerke
Flanders, Belgium
Unknown break
Wed 3
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Sun 14
Oostende
Flanders, Belgium
Unknown break
Wed 3
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Bredene
Flanders, Belgium
Unknown break
Wed 3
Thu 4
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Blankenberge
Flanders, Belgium
Unknown break
Wed 3
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Surfers Paradise
Flanders, Belgium
Beach break
Wed 3
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Domburg
Zeeland, Netherlands
Unknown break
Wed 3
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Sun 14
Vlissingen
Zeeland, Netherlands
Beach break
Wed 3
Thu 4
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Sat 13
Sun 14
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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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