Mocambique
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: America/Sao_Paulo
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⚡️kJ
Friday 29
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Mocambique surf guide

Mocambique Beach is the biggest beach on the island, stretching about 8.5 miles along the northeast coast. You can easily access the beach from the paved highway at various points, making it convenient to pull over and check the surf. The beach has a shifting sand bottom that can produce some hollow peaks when conditions are right, often reaching up to head high. With plenty of space, it’s usually not too crowded, which is great if you're looking for some waves to ride.

The surf here can handle swell sizes from about 2 feet (0.6 meters) to 8 feet (2.4 meters). It typically breaks left and right over sand, making it suitable for different wave riding styles. Your best chances for good waves are with northeast and east-northeast swells, and the ideal wind direction is from the southwest to west-southwest. Low to medium tides are preferred, and the waves can be good for beginners, intermediates, and even some experts. The middle stretch of the beach is generally the go-to spot, but keep an eye on the north end, known as Ponta das Aranhas or Praia Grande, especially when solid east swells are rolling in. There, you can find some nice lefts thanks to the small islets offshore.

Access to Mocambique is easy, and the beach tends to stay less crowded compared to other spots in Brazil, especially on school days. The vibe here is friendly, making it a chill place for surfers to hang out. While it's a fun spot for a variety of surfers, just be mindful of the conditions on bigger days, as there's no channel, and it can get tricky. Fall and winter bring the best surf, but you can find waves here year-round.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Mocambique

Santinho
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Reef break
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Moçambique
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Beach break
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Mocambique
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Beach break
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Galheta
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Beach break
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Mole
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Beach break
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Joaquina
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Beach break
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Campeche
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Beach break
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Morro das Pedras
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Reef break
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Matadeiro
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Rivermouth break
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Lagoinha do Leste
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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