Paignton
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: Europe/London
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โšก๏ธkJ
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Paignton surf guide

Paignton is a beach town on the south coast of England known more for its seaside attractions than its surf. The beach has distinct red sand and is generally sheltered, making it a nice spot for tourists to hang out. While it's not a go-to surf destination, there are days when you can catch some waves, especially if the conditions are right. It mainly lies flat, with the best banks forming near the pier, which makes it a decent place to check when you hear about some potential surf.

The surf at Paignton can handle swell sizes from 2ft to 6ft (about 0.6m to 1.8m). It works best with a SW groundswell or E windswell. The waves are mostly rolling and can sometimes turn into fat, wedgy walls when the swell is good. You'll find both right and left waves breaking over the sandy bottom. It's a pretty relaxed spot for beginners and intermediates alike, making it suitable for various board types, including shortboards, fish, funboards, longboards, and bodyboards. The ideal conditions usually come with a low to mid tide, and the preferred wind direction is from the west.

Access to the beach is straightforward, with plenty of beachfront parking available along the Esplanade, which is convenient if you plan to stay for a while. The crowd factor is mostly quiet, so you wonโ€™t have to deal with heavy line-ups. If you're thinking about heading out, winter is when Paignton sees bigger swells, mainly from December to February, so that might be the best time to plan a surf trip here.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Paignton

Challaborough
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Point break
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Bigbury
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Fri 29
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Mon 1
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Bantham
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Fri 29
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Mon 1
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Bantham
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Fri 29
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Mon 1
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Teignmouth
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break, Pier break, Jetty break
Fri 29
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Mon 1
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Paignton
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break, Pier break
Fri 29
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Exmouth
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Fri 29
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Torbay
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Fri 29
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Sidmouth
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break, Jetty break
Fri 29
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Mon 1
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Lyme Bay
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Fri 29
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Sun 31
Mon 1
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Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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