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Surf forecast for Rocky Point

Tide
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Timezone:
Pacific/Honolulu
Forecast updated:
30/06, 08:00
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260630 18z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260630 18z)
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Rocky Point Surf Forecast Guide

Overview

Rocky Point is a flat, curving reef on the North Shore with lefts and rights spread across a wide zone. It is known for high-performance surfing, with sections ranging from softer walls to clean barrels and air-friendly ramps.

Rocky Rights tend to reel on north swells, while the faster lefts prefer more west-northwest energy. The bottom is uneven reef.

When It Works

Rocky Point is very consistent through small to moderate swells and works from 0.6 m / 2 ft to 2.4 m / 8 ft. The optimal swell direction is northwest, with a broader swell window from west through north to northeast.

Winter is the main season, with autumn and spring also in play.

Wind and Tide

The offshore wind direction is southeast. Calm or light east to south wind is best overall, and typical east-northeast trades can be okay if they are not too strong.

It can work through low, mid, and high tide, but is generally best between peak low and peak high. A rising tide is better.

Local Tips

This is an intermediate-and-up spot, and the lineup is usually very busy when it is good. Smaller days can be more hit or miss for crowds, but humility and respect matter here.

Shortboards, bodyboards, and bodysurfing all suit the wave. Most of the paddling is about positioning, with plenty of peaks to pick off across the zone.

Main hazards are the reef, the inside rock at Rocky Rights, busy inside sections, and tricky entries or exits during larger swells.

Access

Access is easy. Drive about half a mile past Ehukai Beach Park on Kamehameha Highway, pull onto Ke Nui Road, and park where authorized in the car park. Use the public access streets or trails to reach the beach; there is also an access path from the giant wood statue on Kamehameha Highway.

Surf spots near Rocky Point

Rocky Point
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Wed 1
Thu 2
Fri 3
Sat 4
Sun 5
Chambers
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Wed 1
Thu 2
Fri 3
Sat 4
Sun 5
Ehukai
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Wed 1
Thu 2
Fri 3
Sat 4
Sun 5
Pipeline & Backdoor
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Wed 1
Thu 2
Fri 3
Sat 4
Sun 5
Off-The-Wall
Hawaii, United States
Reef break
Wed 1
Thu 2
Fri 3
Sat 4
Sun 5

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Rocky Point?

Rocky Point is usually best with swell from west through north to northeast (W-N-NE), ideally northwest (NW) around 0.6 m / 2 ft to 2.4 m / 8 ft, southeast (SE) offshore wind, and any tide.

Where is the surf spot Rocky Point?

Rocky Point is a surf spot in Pupukea, Hawaii, United States.

What is the surf break like at Rocky Point?

Rocky Point is a left-and-right reef break over uneven reef. Expect a very busy crowd and a friendly lineup.

What season is best for surfing Rocky Point?

The main surf season at Rocky Point is autumn, winter, and spring.

What surfing skill level is Rocky Point suitable for?

Rocky Point can suit intermediate surfers.

Is Rocky Point beginner friendly for surfing?

Rocky Point is better suited to intermediate surfers.

What surfboards work at Rocky Point?

Shortboard, Bodyboard, and Bodysurfing are common choices at Rocky Point.

How consistent is the surf at Rocky Point?

Rocky Point is one of the more consistent surf spots in Hawaii, United States.

Is there parking for surfing at Rocky Point?

Parking around Rocky Point: car park.

What surf spots are near Rocky Point?

Other nearby surf spots are Chambers, Ehukai, Pipeline & Backdoor, and Off-The-Wall.

What swell direction works for surfing at Rocky Point?

Rocky Point can work with swell from west through north to northeast (W-N-NE); northwest (NW) is usually best.

What swell size works for surfing at Rocky Point?

Rocky Point usually works with swell around 0.6 m / 2 ft to 2.4 m / 8 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Rocky Point?

Southeast (SE) offshore wind is usually best at Rocky Point.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Rocky Point?

Southeast (SE) is offshore at Rocky Point.

What tide works best for surfing at Rocky Point?

Rocky Point can work on all tides. A rising tide is usually better here.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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