Shoals Reef/Wall
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: America/Sitka
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Thursday 28
Friday 29
Saturday 30
Sunday 31
Monday 01
Tuesday 02
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Shoals Reef/Wall surf guide

Shoals Reef/Wall is a surf spot located off South Kruzof Island, about a 30-minute boat ride from town. It's known for its rugged and uneven reef breaks that offer a unique surfing experience. This area mainly serves experienced surfers looking for a challenge, as the waves can get pretty hefty. Access to the spot is via boat trips, making it a bit off the beaten path but worth it for those who make the journey.

This spot primarily produces right-hand waves, but you can also find some lefts. The best conditions are during south swells, but west swells can also deliver decent rides. Shoals Reef/Wall can handle impressive swell sizes up to 15ft (about 5 meters) under the right conditions, particularly with a north wind. For optimal results, aim for low to mid tides; mid tide seems to be especially good. However, the waves can be easily blown out if the conditions aren’t right, so keep an eye on the weather.

As a reef break, Shoals Reef/Wall demands respect and skill, making it best suited for expert surfers. The wave direction generally fits into the right and left categories, so you have options depending on the swell and wind conditions. Aiming for south or west swells is your best bet here. Just be ready for some strong rides if you catch the right set!

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Shoals Reef/Wall

Sandy Beach - Sitka, Alaska
Alaska, United States
Reef break
Thu 28
Fri 29
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Low Island
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Reef break
Thu 28
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Shoals Point
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Point break
Thu 28
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Shoals Reef/Wall
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Reef break
Thu 28
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Port Mary
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Thu 28
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Mon 1
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Good Rats
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Reef break
Thu 28
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Mon 1
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Kai's Place
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Reef break
Thu 28
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Mon 1
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Neva Bay
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Reef break
Thu 28
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Mon 1
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Red Tree Reef
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Reef break
Thu 28
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Mon 1
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Sealion Cove
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Thu 28
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Mon 1
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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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"Great Forecasts. Nothing more, nothing less."

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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