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Surf forecast for Thicklip

Tide
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Timezone:
Africa/Windhoek
Forecast updated:
27/06, 20:00
Wind: SN UNITY Atmos
(20260627 18z)
Waves: SN UNITY WAVE
(20260627 18z)
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Thicklip Surf Forecast Guide

Thicklip is a surf spot located near the rock groyne on Strand Street. It's known for its bowl-like waves and is a left-breaking reef. The spot is fairly consistent, making it a reliable choice for surfers looking to catch some decent waves. It's important to note that it works best on a mid to high tide, especially when the swell is pushing. However, the waves tend to get blown out pretty easily, so be mindful of the wind conditions before you paddle out.

This spot handles swell sizes starting from about 2 ft (0.6 m) and tends to favor a southwest swell direction. While it can accommodate swells coming from the south and west too, the most reliable conditions are with a southeast wind. The waves break over an uneven reef, which contributes to the unique surf experience here. It's best suited for expert surfers, so if you’re still learning, you might want to choose a different spot. Expect some fun lefts, but be ready for variable conditions.

While you’re at Thicklip, keep an eye on the local crowd. It can get busy, especially on good days. Since it’s a reef break, injury can happen if you’re not careful, so always stay aware of your surroundings. Overall, it's a spot that you can count on for some solid lefts, just be sure to pick your days wisely.

Surf spots near Thicklip

Vineta Point
Erongo Region, Namibia
Reef break
Sun 28
Mon 29
Tue 30
Wed 1
Thu 2
Thicklip
Erongo Region, Namibia
Reef break
Sun 28
Mon 29
Tue 30
Wed 1
Thu 2
Lockjoint
Erongo Region, Namibia
Reef break
Sun 28
Mon 29
Tue 30
Wed 1
Thu 2
Tiger Reef
Erongo Region, Namibia
Beach break
Sun 28
Mon 29
Tue 30
Wed 1
Thu 2
Paradise (Namibia)
Erongo Region, Namibia
Reef break
Sun 28
Mon 29
Tue 30
Wed 1
Thu 2

Frequently asked questions

What are good surfing conditions for Thicklip?

Thicklip is usually best with swell from south to west (S-W), ideally southwest (SW) around 0.6 m / 2 ft to 1.8 m / 6 ft, east (E) offshore wind, and mid to high tide.

Where is the surf spot Thicklip?

Thicklip is a surf spot in Swakopmund, Erongo Region, Namibia.

What is the surf break like at Thicklip?

Thicklip is a left reef break over uneven reef.

What surfing skill level is Thicklip suitable for?

Thicklip can suit expert surfers.

Is Thicklip beginner friendly for surfing?

Thicklip is better suited to expert surfers.

What surf spots are near Thicklip?

Other nearby surf spots are Lockjoint, Tiger Reef, Vineta Point, and Paradise (Namibia).

What swell direction works for surfing at Thicklip?

Thicklip can work with swell from south to west (S-W); southwest (SW) is usually best.

What swell size works for surfing at Thicklip?

Thicklip usually works with swell around 0.6 m / 2 ft to 1.8 m / 6 ft.

What wind direction is best for surfing at Thicklip?

East (E) offshore wind is usually best at Thicklip.

What wind direction is offshore for surfing at Thicklip?

East (E) is offshore at Thicklip.

What tide works best for surfing at Thicklip?

Thicklip works best around mid to high tide. A rising tide is usually better here.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm chooses the "dominant wave" using spot-adjusted surf energy (depth + directional fit). This is usually the first swell partition, but during local storms it can switch to wind waves. If that happens, values are shown in gray and italic.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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