Ardnave Bay
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: Europe/London
โฑ๏ธs.
โšก๏ธkJ
Saturday 13
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Monday 15
Tuesday 16
Wednesday 17
Thursday 18
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Ardnave Bay surf guide

Ardnave Bay is a surf spot that can be a bit rare, but when conditions align, it offers a solid experience. Itโ€™s located with access from Ardnave, but be prepared for a long walk to get to the water. This spot sits on a rivermouth sandbar and generally needs a hefty Northwest swell to really get going. It's not the most consistent place, but it can surprise you if you're willing to put in the effort.

The best swell direction for surfing here is Northwest, and it can handle swell sizes starting from 2ft (about 0.6 meters). With a couple of different swell directions like Southwest and Northwest, you can find some good waves when the conditions are right. The wave types tend to be rivermouth and they break left. For the best surfing experience, aim for low to mid tide, although it can work at high tide too. Southwest winds are preferable as they help create more ideal surfing conditions.

Keep in mind that currents can be strong, especially when the tide is dropping, so pay attention to that. Ardnave Bay also has a unique vibe due to its location and the surrounding scenery, making it a nice spot to chill after a session. Just be ready for some trekking to get there, and check the conditions beforehand for the best chance at catching some waves.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Ardnave Bay

Saligo Bay
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
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Lossit Bay
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sat 13
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Machir Bay
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sat 13
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Ardnave Bay
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Rivermouth break
Sat 13
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Laggan Bay
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sat 13
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Caravans
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Rivermouth break
Sat 13
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Graveyards
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sat 13
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Middle Beach
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sat 13
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Westport
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sat 13
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Machrihanish
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sat 13
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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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