Cerro Hermoso
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: America/Mexico_City
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Sunday 14
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Cerro Hermoso surf guide

Cerro Hermoso is a laid-back surf spot located at a picturesque lagoon where the river meets the ocean. This area is known for its natural beauty and offers a quiet environment for surfers looking to catch some waves. It’s a great place for surfers of all abilities, but you’ll get the best experience under the right conditions.

The surf here is generally manageable, mainly working best with a southwest swell. You’ll find wave directions breaking both left and right, with sizes around 1 ft (0.3 meters) being optimal. While it can handle some southeast and west swells, it won’t perform well with too much size. The sand bottom helps provide a smooth ride, especially when the tide is low, mid, or high. For those starting out, Cerro Hermoso caters to beginners quite well, so it's ideal for getting in the water without feeling overwhelmed.

There are a couple of other spots nearby worth mentioning. Playa El Venada has some short but fun peaks that can be empty at times, and Playa Roca Blanca often offers easy, lazy rights that break off the western headland rocks. These spots are usually sheltered from the western breeze, making them good options if the wind is strong.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Cerro Hermoso

Rio Coyula
Oaxaca, Mexico
Point break
Sun 14
Mon 15
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Zipolite
Oaxaca, Mexico
Beach break
Sun 14
Mon 15
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Zipolite
Oaxaca, Mexico
Beach break
Sun 14
Mon 15
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Mon 22
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Carizalillo
Oaxaca, Mexico
Reef break
Sun 14
Mon 15
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Sun 21
Mon 22
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Puerto Escondido
Oaxaca, Mexico
Beach break
Sun 14
Mon 15
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
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Sun 21
Mon 22
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Thu 25
Topleca
Oaxaca, Mexico
Reef break
Sun 14
Mon 15
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Mon 22
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La Punta - Playa Zicatela
Oaxaca, Mexico
Point break
Sun 14
Mon 15
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Wed 17
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Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
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Colotepec
Oaxaca, Mexico
Beach break
Sun 14
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Cerro Hermoso
Oaxaca, Mexico
Unknown break
Sun 14
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Chacahua
Oaxaca, Mexico
Unknown break
Sun 14
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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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"Great Forecasts. Nothing more, nothing less."

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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