El Conquistador
Hourly
Confidence
Compare
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Friday 07
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Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
Timezone: Atlantic/Canary
Wind: GFS (20251106 18z)
Waves: GFS WAVE (20251106 18z)

El Conquistador surf guide

El Conquistador is a popular surf spot located right in front of the Conquistador Hotel. This beach generally attracts all levels of surfers, especially cyclists and intermediates. It has a rocky bay where the waves can be mellow when the swell is smaller, making it fun for various wavecraft. The spot is known for its peeling lefts and rights, which can get pretty exciting when the conditions are just right.

The surf here works well on all tides and can handle swell sizes from about waist high (1 meter) to double overhead (3 meters). Typically, it shines with a southwest swell, but it can also pick up waves from the southeast and northwest directions. When the conditions are good, the reef can produce fast walls, ideal for more experienced surfers looking for a challenge. In general, expect both lefts and rights breaking over an uneven reef, with some sections being more manageable when the swell is smaller. The wind from the east or southeast helps make the waves more enjoyable.

Access to the beach is straightforward, with beachside parking available on Calle Arenas Blancas. Just be careful of the sharp rocks on the inside, especially during low tides. Since itโ€™s a popular spot, especially when conditions are favorable, you might find the crowd factor high, so be prepared for a bit of competition for waves, but the vibe here is usually pretty chill.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby El Conquistador

La Izquierda / Spanish Left
Canary Islands, Spain
Reef break
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Derecha del Cartel
Canary Islands, Spain
Reef break
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
El Conquistador
Canary Islands, Spain
Reef break
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
La Fitenia
Canary Islands, Spain
Reef break
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18
Las Galletas
Canary Islands, Spain
Reef break
Fri 7
Sat 8
Sun 9
Mon 10
Tue 11
Wed 12
Thu 13
Fri 14
Sat 15
Sun 16
Mon 17
Tue 18

Readme

Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm โ€” the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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