Esmeralda
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: America/Panama
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Friday 29
Saturday 30
Sunday 31
Monday 01
Tuesday 02
Wednesday 03
Tap a forecast cell to explore conditions on the map.
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Esmeralda surf guide

Esmeralda is a surf spot located on the Costa Esmeralda that offers a unique surf experience. It can be a little inconsistent, waking up primarily during solid south swells. The area is known for its uneven reef and sandy bottom, making it a mixed bag depending on conditions. It’s a place where surfers can find some fun waves but don’t expect it to blow your mind every time. The water doesn’t really match the “emerald” name it’s given, but it’s a chill spot to hang out.

The surf at Esmeralda works best with south to southwest swells and handles waves around 4ft (about 1.2 meters). During mid to high tides, you can catch both left and right-breaking waves. It's a good spot for beginners who are just getting their feet wet. The winds from the northwest are preferable, helping to clean up the waves and make your session more enjoyable. Remember that the quality can drop when it's smaller, as the peaks can get mushy and slopey, making it less exciting.

While the consistency scores a low 4, it’s worth checking the sand distribution before you paddle out. The crowd levels are also average, so you might have to share the waves with a few other surfers. Overall, Esmeralda can be a great spot when conditions align, so keep an eye on the surf report for the best days to surf!

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Esmeralda

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Panama Oeste Province, Panama
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Unknown Region, Unknown Country
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Rocky Point
Panama Oeste Province, Panama
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Sat 30
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Mon 1
Tue 2
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Rinconsito
Panama Oeste Province, Panama
Point break
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
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Punta Teta
Panama Oeste Province, Panama
Reef break
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
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Esmeralda
Panama Oeste Province, Panama
Reef break
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9
San Carlos Point
Panama Oeste Province, Panama
Point break
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9
Hawaiisito
Panama Oeste Province, Panama
Reef break
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9
Punta Palmar
Panama Oeste Province, Panama
Point break
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9
Rio Mar
Panama Oeste Province, Panama
Point break
Fri 29
Sat 30
Sun 31
Mon 1
Tue 2
Wed 3
Thu 4
Fri 5
Sat 6
Sun 7
Mon 8
Tue 9

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

đź”® Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

đź’¨ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the đź’¨ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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