Lighthouse – Pagai Selatan
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: Asia/Jakarta
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Saturday 13
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Lighthouse – Pagai Selatan surf guide

Lighthouse – Pagai Selatan is a surf spot located on the north coast of an island, known for its appealing point breaks and consistent swells. This spot attracts surfers looking for a good ride, as it regularly sees waves formed by S-SW swells that wrap around the island. The area has a laid-back vibe, making it a great place to chill out when you're not in the water.

The surf here can really pack a punch, especially when the swell hits around 10ft (3 meters) or more. The optimal swell direction is from the south, but it also handles some good waves coming from the southwest. Surfers can expect mainly right-hand waves that break over live coral, offering some decent down-the-line speed walls. It’s important to note that low to mid or high tide works best here, and the spot is suited for intermediate surfers. A preferable west wind can help the conditions, but keep in mind that when the swell is on point, it can get pretty powerful and a bit hectic.

If you're looking for some variety, there’s a left break on the opposite side of the island, though it’s generally not as good as the right off Lighthouse. For a unique photo perspective, you can climb the 46ft (14 meters) lighthouse nearby. Just be cautious about the surrounding area and enjoy what Lighthouse – Pagai Selatan has to offer!

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Lighthouse – Pagai Selatan

Greenbush
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Reef break
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Roxys
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Reef break
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Rag's Left
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Reef break
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Rag's Right
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Reef break
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Thunders
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Reef break
Sat 13
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Sibigau Rights
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Reef break
Sat 13
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Solawi
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Reef break
Sat 13
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The Hole
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Reef break
Sat 13
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Lighthouse – Pagai Selatan
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Reef break
Sat 13
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Sanding
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Reef break
Sat 13
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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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