Punta de Lobos
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: America/Santiago
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Wednesday 17
Thursday 18
Friday 19
Saturday 20
Sunday 21
Monday 22
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Punta de Lobos surf guide

Punta de Lobos is a famous surf spot located in Chile, known for its consistent waves and stunning scenery. It’s often packed with surfers looking to ride some quality lefts and enjoy the beach vibe. This spot is relatively close to Santiago, making it accessible for those wanting to score some solid surf without traveling too far. Expect a lively atmosphere, especially in the summer when it’s a popular destination for both surfers and beachgoers.

The surf here can range from head high to well over double overhead, which is about 1.5 to 12 meters. Southwest swells are optimal, but the spot can handle south and west swells too. Lobos is known for its long, peeling lefts, with rides often reaching up to 200 yards. The waves come in a bit slower, giving surfers time to navigate and set up for bowls. As the wave height increases, the take-off zone moves further out, especially when the waves hit solid double-overhead or higher. Lower tides are preferred for better conditions, although it can break at any tide level. Keep in mind that the paddle-out can be a serious workout, especially on larger days.

The local crowd can be significant, making Punta de Lobos one of the busiest spots in Chile after Renaca. While you'll find a mix of local and expat surfers, there are several take-off zones to help spread the lineup. It's definitely a place where intermediate surfers can test their skills, especially on more manageable days. Just remember to respect the locals and enjoy the ride!

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Punta de Lobos

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Wed 17
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Mon 22
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Infiernillo
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Point break
Wed 17
Thu 18
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Pichilemu
O Higgins, Chile
Point break
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
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Mon 22
Tue 23
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Fri 26
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Infiernillo
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Point break
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
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Sat 27
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Punta de Lobos
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Point break
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Sun 28
Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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"Great Forecasts. Nothing more, nothing less."

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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