Santa Maria Rivermouth/ Guadalupe Beach
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: America/Los_Angeles
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Tuesday 16
Wednesday 17
Thursday 18
Friday 19
Saturday 20
Sunday 21
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Santa Maria Rivermouth/ Guadalupe Beach surf guide

Santa Maria Rivermouth, also known as Guadalupe Beach, is a surf spot located at the end of Hwy 166 from Guadalupe. This area features sandy beaches and is known for its consistent surf. The road leading to the beach can sometimes be covered with sand, giving it a unique beach vibe. It's a great spot for surfers looking for a day out on the waves.

The surf here is known for being powerful and hollow, offering a solid beach break that tends to stay active and never flat. It's best suited for swells coming from the west, but it can also handle south and north swells. You’ll find waves breaking over sand, creating both left and right wave directions. The spot usually works well with swell sizes starting at 2ft (about 0.6 meters) and does best with mid tide heights. Just keep in mind that the wind tends to be strong, with east being the preferable direction, and currents can get a bit tricky at times.

After heavy rainfall, the mouth of the river can produce an excellent sandbar, which is a bonus for surfers. The conditions here can change quickly based on the weather and river flow, so it's always good to check the surf forecast before heading out. Overall, Santa Maria Rivermouth offers a decent session for those looking to catch some waves, especially with the right conditions.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Santa Maria Rivermouth/ Guadalupe Beach

Pismo Beach Pier
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Unknown break
Tue 16
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Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
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Sat 27
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Beach break
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Mon 22
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Sat 27
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Reef break
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
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California, United States
Reef break
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Avila Beach
California, United States
Beach break
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Santa Maria Rivermouth/ Guadalupe Beach
California, United States
Beach break
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Hazard Canyon
California, United States
Reef break
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Surf Beach
California, United States
Beach break
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Surf Beach
California, United States
Beach break
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Spooners Cove
California, United States
Point break
Tue 16
Wed 17
Thu 18
Fri 19
Sat 20
Sun 21
Mon 22
Tue 23
Wed 24
Thu 25
Fri 26
Sat 27
Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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