Wilderness Beach
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: Africa/Johannesburg
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Tuesday 16
Wednesday 17
Thursday 18
Friday 19
Saturday 20
Sunday 21
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Wilderness Beach surf guide

Wilderness Beach is a surf spot located on the southern coast, known for its beautiful sandy stretches. This beach is mainly a summer destination that relies on smaller, peaky southern swells. It’s a place where you can find some decent waves but keep in mind that it can often be a bit unpredictable, with days when it feels out of control or just too messy to surf. The vibe here is laid-back, making it a good spot for surfers looking to chill.

The surf here does best with south swells coming in and any north winds. The waves can handle sizes as small as 2 feet (about 0.6 meters), and you can catch both left and right breaks, which is nice for variety. The beach setup works over sand, so it’s relatively friendly for beginners looking to ride some waves. Low to mid tide is usually the sweet spot, and while it can be surfed at high tide, the waves might not be as good. Just remember, although it's beginner-friendly, you'll want to be cautious as some days can feel quite sharky out there.

For a different option, check out Kaimansriver just a bit further east. It’s another spot that handles light winds and offers smaller swells. This area has some nostalgic vibes, as it was featured in *The Endless Summer*. If you want to gauge the conditions before heading out to Wilderness, Dolphin Point Lookout is an excellent vantage point to monitor the swell.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Wilderness Beach

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Victoria Bay
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Wilderness Beach
Western Cape, South Africa
Beach break
Tue 16
Wed 17
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Sat 27
Gerickes Point
Western Cape, South Africa
Point break
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Sun 21
Mon 22
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Goukamma
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Beach break
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Murphys
Western Cape, South Africa
Reef break
Tue 16
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Buffalo Point
Western Cape, South Africa
Point break
Tue 16
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Lookout Beach
Western Cape, South Africa
Beach break
Tue 16
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Mon 22
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The Wedge
Western Cape, South Africa
Beach break
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Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

With Surfnerd, no more "you should have been here yesterday"

Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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