Broadhaven South
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Hourly Forecast
Timezone: Europe/London
⏱️s.
⚡️kJ
Sunday 14
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Friday 19
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Broadhaven South surf guide

Broadhaven South is a surf spot located along the beautiful Pembrokeshire coastline. This beach is known for its scenic cliffs and sandy shores, making it a popular destination for surfers and beachgoers alike. The area is overseen by the National Trust, which keeps the environment well-preserved. The surf can be punchy and exciting, especially when the conditions align right. It’s important to note that this location tends to cater to surfers with more experience due to the nature of the waves.

The surf here can really deliver when the swell is coming from the southwest, as it handles sizes starting at 2ft (0.6m) and can get significantly bigger. The waves break over sand, creating both left and right offerings, but it tends to be heavier and more challenging when the swell is large. High tide is the best time to paddle out, and you’ll want a northwest wind to keep conditions clean. Given the rippy nature of the break, it’s best suited for advanced surfers who know how to navigate tricky spots and deal with the power of the waves.

Access to Broadhaven South is through a National Trust car park, where an attendant ensures that everyone changes decently, especially in the summer months. This can be a bit of a hassle, but it helps maintain the beach's family-friendly vibe. Since the spot can get busy during peak times, it's a good idea to arrive early for a better surf experience.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Broadhaven South

Whitesands Bay
Wales, United Kingdom
Beach break
Sun 14
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Abereiddy
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sun 14
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Marloes Sands
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sun 14
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St Brides Bay
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sun 14
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Newgale
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sun 14
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Freshwater West
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sun 14
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Broadhaven South
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sun 14
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Freshwater East
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sun 14
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Manorbier
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Reef break
Sun 14
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Tenby South Beach
Unknown Region, Unknown Country
Beach break
Sun 14
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Wind certainty

Wind certainty tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High certainty: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium certainty: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low certainty: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate this by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

Readme

Welcome! If you’re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

🔮 Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

💨 Wind section

The first row on the table (with the 💨 icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

🌊 Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

🌒 Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front — handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. It’s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

Log your surf sessions to compare forecasts with real sessions and sharpen future predictions.

Models and Updates

Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Here’s the scale:

Perfect
Good
Average
Bad or No Data

Session logs also feed the algorithm — the more you log, the smarter your forecasts get.

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