Waipaoa River Bar
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Timezone: Pacific/Auckland

Waipaoa River Bar surf guide

Waipaoa River Bar, also known as Big River, is a surf spot located near Gisborne. It's a long, sandy rivermouth sandbar that can produce some powerful waves when the conditions are right. It's not the most consistent spot, but on those rare big northeast (NE) swells or good south (S) swells, it can offer decent surfing opportunities. Surfers should keep in mind that this spot can be a bit tricky and deceptive, so it's best to check it out carefully before paddling out.

This spot handles swell sizes starting at about 2 feet (0.6 meters) and can really come alive with the right swell direction, especially from the NE. The waves typically break over sand, providing a rivermouth type of wave that goes to the right. The best times to surf here are at mid to high tide, and the ideal wind direction is from the west. Given its conditions, it's better suited for intermediate surfers who can handle the sometimes powerful surf.

If you're planning to catch some waves at Waipaoa River Bar, it's good to know that spending a month in the area during the best periods might give you a decent chance of scoring great waves. Just remember to keep an eye on the tide and wind directions for the best experience.

Surf reports and surf forecasts nearby Waipaoa River Bar

Whangara
Gisborne, New Zealand
Beach break
Fri 24
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Tue 28
Wed 29
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Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Pouawa Beach
Gisborne, New Zealand
Beach break
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
North Makarori Reef
Gisborne, New Zealand
Reef break
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Makarori Point
Gisborne, New Zealand
Reef break
Fri 24
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Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Wainui
Gisborne, New Zealand
Beach break
Fri 24
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Sun 26
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Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Sponge Bay
Gisborne, New Zealand
Beach break
Fri 24
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Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
The Cliff
Gisborne, New Zealand
Point break
Fri 24
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Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Tuamoto Island
Gisborne, New Zealand
Reef break
Fri 24
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Sun 26
Mon 27
Tue 28
Wed 29
Thu 30
Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Gizzy Pipe, Midway Beach
Gisborne, New Zealand
Beach break
Fri 24
Sat 25
Sun 26
Mon 27
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Wed 29
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Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
Mon 3
Tue 4
Waipaoa River Bar
Gisborne, New Zealand
Rivermouth break
Fri 24
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Wed 29
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Fri 31
Sat 1
Sun 2
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Tue 4
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Welcome! If youโ€™re new to surf forecasting, check out this quick guide.

Forecast Table

The forecast table (the section on the page with all the numbers) is designed to pack as much information in the screen as possible. Although intimidating at first, it will help you make informed decisions about the waves faster, trust me :D. The table consists of roughly four sections, time and predictions, wind, waves, and tides:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Time and predictions section

Here we show the forecast thour and the overall surf quality prediction. This is determined based on the wave, wind and tide quality prediction. These individual predictions can be found on the forecast map.

๐Ÿ’จ Wind section

The first row on the table (with the ๐Ÿ’จ icon) shows wind speed, direction and gust. The more the wind speed the more aggressive the color (from blue, green, orange to red).

๐ŸŒŠ Wave section

The waves section consists of three rows, one for wave height and direction, one for period and one for wave energy. Our algorithm choices the "dominant wave". This is normally the first swell partition, but with heavy local storms it displays the wind waves. If that's the case, we display the numbers in italic and in gray.

๐ŸŒ’ Tide section

The tide section consists of a row with the actual heights per hour (measured at the half hour) and a table that displays the flow of the tide and the extremes (lows and highs).

Forecast map

The forecast map consists of arrows. These arrows represent all wave partitions (swell partitions and wind wave partition) and the wind. This allows you to see things like: a secondary swell or wind waves messes up the surf, or the wind is just a tick offshore so very surfable. Click a metric label in the bottom left to bring that arrow to the front โ€” handy when arrows overlap.

Forecast Cheat Sheet

Short on time? Focus on wave energy. Itโ€™s the best single metric to gauge how big and powerful the waves will be.

Click any table cell to jump to that forecast hour. The map will update with forecast arrows, so you can see if wind and swell direction are lining up.

Use the table sidebar to switch units for height and speed.

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Surfnerd blends multiple global and local wind and swell models using advanced interpolation and spatial techniques to create an "ensemble" forecast. Forecasts are refreshed hourly.

Surf Predictions

Our AI-driven algorithm scores surf quality, shown by green, orange, and gray dots. Each forecast hour is rated for wind, swell, and tide quality, then combined into an overall score. Hereโ€™s the scale:

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Confidence

Confidence tells you how much the weather models agree on the forecast.

  • High confidence: Models agree closely; forecast is reliable.
  • Medium confidence: Some disagreement; conditions may shift slightly.
  • Low confidence: Models diverge; treat forecast with caution.

We calculate the wind confidence by comparing wind speed, gust and direction from multiple models (like GFS, ECMWF, Arome, and Harmonie) and seeing how closely they match. For wave certainty we compare height, period and direction, also on multiple models. They are weighted, meaning that some models count more than others, depending on how good they are for a certain spot.

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